NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,519
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 343
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,519
takes graded
4,638 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Los Angeles Rams299 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles296 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- New England Patriots274 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders253 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals152 takes
- Carolina Panthers154 takes
- Indianapolis Colts168 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
26–50 of 3,881
All right, we get next up with the Detroit Lions. That seventeenth pick... We'll take Monroe Freeling, the big left tackle out of Georgia
That's why RVL. Reese is going to go number three, not just simply to play off the ball.
I have them going with the top corner in the draft and mansour Delane out of LSU
Next up, we have the Dallas Cowboys. Look who just fell in their lap In this scenario, they go get one of the top players and Downs.
To me, I thought, Tampa a key mesidor makes sense for them, and I had them trading back ... They can slide back here to this spot
I've got him taking him right there at twenty.
Peter Woods is still out there, very talented d tackle from Clemson, the Baltimore Ravens ... They get Peter Woods.
Mix up pick number nineteen ... he fallows one spot behind it. He goes to the Carolina Panthers.
Some players just match with teams, and this one made sense to me when you look at USC play football over the last couple of years and you watch McKay lemon. This guy kind of looks like a ram the way he plays the game.
Next up the Minnesota Vikings ... So I went with Coltonhood, the corner out of Tennessee.
I have them going with the top corner in the draft and mansour Delane out of LSU
a hot name coming down the home stretch here has been Caden Proctor, the big tackle out of Alabama ... the Eagles jumping up to fifteen
Let's get to the Chargers here ... I like it here Vega Yoane from Penn State
Go get Ruben Bain from the University of Miami to shore up to edge rush position
What do they do with twenty four? ... Let's get the receiver Casey concepts out of Texas A and m
Next up behind them, we have the Washington Commanders... And here you've got Jordan Tyson ... Washington takes Jordan Tyson over Tate at seven
Next up, we have got the New England Patriots. This is Chris Johnson.
Who's coming up? Not a shocker here. It's the Arizona Cardinals and it is ty Simpson time.
Blake Miller, the big tackle out of Clemson ... it feels like a Pittsburgh Steeler at right tackle.
We keep it going here to the Kansas City Chiefs their second first round pick ... Now we come back and get Trading Stokes out of Arizona
if they're stuck at six, I got him going out to Utah and taking Spencer Fano, the tackle
I've got the Saints making a move to get up to RVL Reese here ... You have RVL Reese going next at three.
I'm going to go with David Bailey out of Texas Tech ... Then the Jets take Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey at number two overall.
but who's quarterback number two? / Ty Simpson? We I I guess right.
I mean Fernando is automatically number one, but who's quarterback number two?