NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,519
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 343
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,519
takes graded
4,638 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Shedeur SandersQB9 takes
- Lamar JacksonQB8 takes
- Josh AllenQB7 takes
- Sam DarnoldQB6 takes
- Patrick MahomesQB6 takes
- Jayden DanielsQB5 takes
- Abdul CarterLB5 takes
- Christian McCaffreyRB5 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs51 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles48 takes
- Buffalo Bills47 takes
- Baltimore Ravens29 takes
- Detroit Lions29 takes
- Washington Commanders21 takes
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers16 takes
- Los Angeles Chargers14 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Carolina Panthers1 take
- Chicago Bears4 takes
- Cleveland Browns4 takes
- Seattle Seahawks4 takes
- Jacksonville Jaguars5 takes
- Miami Dolphins5 takes
- New Orleans Saints5 takes
- Arizona Cardinals6 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1–25 of 3,881
Why would the Raiders sign Kirk Cousins for $20 million when they're just going to draft Fernando Mendoza No. 1 overall?
But when Rattler ascends to the clear top spot in this draft class overall—something I expect will happen
If they both came out right now, Strong should and would be the higher drafted player given his current profile as a passer; barring major strides from Willis in just one offseason, Strong will likely always have that advantage on him.
Pickett will likely be the first or second quarterback off the board in this year's draft
Incoming rookie Trevor Lawrence will be the top overall pick, to the Jaguars
all indications point to the team having selected quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick
I think he might be like a third or fourth round, pick
everyone's Saying Arch banning is the number one overall. Pick i'm rooting for. HIM ... but based on what we saw last. Year number one overall Pick Dante. Moore
I believe Ruben Bain Junior is going to be there. I think Rubyen Bain Junior is going to be the pick... He is the guy will have the Chiefs taking in the final mock draft I do.
so my bold prediction Is Jeremiah love does not go in the top five
I think we see one quarterback get drafted and That's Fernando mendez at number one... So fernando goes one
I do think The titans can Go Sony styles because everyone's telling me they're gonna Ta jeremiah... so you Go mendoza the two pass Rushers. Styles
So Omar Cooper, second wide receiver off the board.
I do not think That Ty simpson goes in the first round... SO i do not think Ty simpson's off the board On thursday night
Some players just match with teams, and this one made sense to me when you look at USC play football over the last couple of years and you watch McKay lemon. This guy kind of looks like a ram the way he plays the game.
Let's get to the Chargers here ... I like it here Vega Yoane from Penn State
I have them going with the top corner in the draft and mansour Delane out of LSU
I've got the Saints making a move to get up to RVL Reese here ... You have RVL Reese going next at three.
That's why RVL. Reese is going to go number three, not just simply to play off the ball.
Go get Ruben Bain from the University of Miami to shore up to edge rush position
What do they do with twenty four? ... Let's get the receiver Casey concepts out of Texas A and m
Next up behind them, we have the Washington Commanders... And here you've got Jordan Tyson ... Washington takes Jordan Tyson over Tate at seven
Next up the Minnesota Vikings ... So I went with Coltonhood, the corner out of Tennessee.
We keep it going here to the Kansas City Chiefs their second first round pick ... Now we come back and get Trading Stokes out of Arizona
Blake Miller, the big tackle out of Clemson ... it feels like a Pittsburgh Steeler at right tackle.