Derek Brown· Aug 25, 2026
Brown says he is lower than consensus on Lamar Jackson and will not draft him in 2026 unless he slips well past his current ADP, arguing the price bakes in a QB1 finish that is far from certain.
“I won’t discourage anyone for taking the swing on Jackson in any draft, but I won’t be in 2026 unless he slips quite far past his current ADP.”
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- Fantasy Bust CallsLamar JacksonAug 25, 2026
Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (his current ADP)
“Yes, I’m lower than consensus with Lamar Jackson this season, but I fully acknowledge his upside... where he’s being drafted is baking in that as a near certainty when it’s not.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Rich EisenRoster Spot Calls · Lamar JacksonHit · 100Eisen predicted road teams would go 4-2 on wild card weekend, with only the Patriots and Eagles winning at home — which leaves the Rams, Packers, Bills and Texans winning on the road. He also expects Lamar Jackson back with the Ravens.
- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · Lamar JacksonHit · 100Eisen pushed back on several takes: he doubts the Chiefs make the playoffs this year, agrees the Bills as a 5 seed can win a road playoff game, thinks New England wins the AFC East, expects Carolina to sweep Tampa Bay and win the NFC South, says Lamar Jackson is not a top-10 quarterback this year, sees the Ravens still able to win the AFC North at 8-9, and names Christian McCaffrey the Offensive Player of the Year front-runner.
- Rich EisenAward Picks · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Eisen argued the Lions have the grit, smarts and personnel to win the NFC and reach the Super Bowl, predicted Josh Allen wins MVP, and laid out his projected MVP top five with Jared Goff finishing third and Joe Burrow sneaking into the group alongside Saquon Barkley and Lamar Jackson.
- Chris BrockmanAward Picks · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Brockman argued Michael Penix will lead Atlanta to a playoff win and that the Falcons will win the NFC South, that the Vikings are the league's best team, that MVP is a two-horse race he leans toward Lamar Jackson, and that the Chiefs — flaws and all — will win the AFC and reach the Super Bowl in New Orleans.
- Joe PisapiaPositional Finishes · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Hosting the early 2026 ranks debate, Pizapia said he would move a healthy Lamar Jackson up to the No. 2 fantasy quarterback spot, ahead of Drake May.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WormeliFantasy Bust Calls · Zay FlowersMiss · 0Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr.
- Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls · Austin EkelerHit · 100Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.
- Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls · Rashee RiceMiss · 0Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.
- Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls · Breece HallMiss · 0Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.
- Simon HunterFantasy Bust Calls · Tetairoa McMillanHit · 100Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking him in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round.
- Sean KernerFantasy Bust Calls · Travis HunterMiss · 0Kerner's top move is Travis Hunter to Jacksonville, though he calls Hunter's WR30 price a bit rich given usage uncertainty. He is all-in on Ashton Jeanty as a workhorse with top-five rookie upside, likes Ben Johnson's arrival for Caleb Williams and rookie TE Colston Loveland, expects DeVonta Adams to boost Matthew Stafford's touchdown total over 22.5, and is heavily drafting Jayden Higgins as Houston's No. 2 receiver.