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Colin Cowherd· Oct 3, 2025

Cowherd's Blazing Five picks: Colts beat Raiders 28-20 and run away with the AFC South, Jets beat Cowboys 28-27, Broncos beat Eagles 24-23, Seahawks beat Buccaneers 28-23, and Cardinals blow out the Titans 31-13.

I think the Colts are really really talented... I think they're going to run away now with this division twenty eight to twenty Colts win.

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 4 score predictions and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 33.8 out of 100, against 32.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Indianapolis Colts to win the division

    I think they're going to run away now with this division

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arizona Cardinals 31 — Titans 13

    I think we have a blowout on the horizon. Cardinals win at thirty one to thirteen.

    Miss · 10Scored 9.52a naive guess scored 47.55-67.69 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-21
    skill:
    -67.69
    they picked:
    ARI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    9.52
    baseline:
    47.55
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos 24 — Eagles 23

    I'm gonna take Denver to win close, low scoring game twenty four to twenty three.

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 45.3+84.64 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    21-17
    skill:
    84.64
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    45.3
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • New York Jets 28 — Cowboys 27

    I think the Jets at home healthier win twenty eight, twenty seven, take the points.

    Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 19.11-4.36 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    37-22
    skill:
    -4.36
    they picked:
    NYJ
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    19.11
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Indianapolis Colts 28 — Raiders 20

    I like the Colts at home to win and cover... twenty eight to twenty Colts win it won't feel this close.

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-40
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    34
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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