Colin Cowherd · Oct 3, 2025

Cowherd's Blazing Five picks: Colts beat Raiders 28-20 and run away with the AFC South, Jets beat Cowboys 28-27, Broncos beat Eagles 24-23, Seahawks beat Buccaneers 28-23, and Cardinals blow out the Titans 31-13.

“I think the Colts are really really talented... I think they're going to run away now with this division twenty eight to twenty Colts win.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Score PredictionsOct 3, 2025
“I think we have a blowout on the horizon. Cardinals win at thirty one to thirteen.”
Scored 9.52a naive guess scored 47.55-67.69 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-21
skill:
-67.69
they picked:
ARI
season:
2025
accuracy:
9.52
baseline:
47.55
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
1
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
18
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Score PredictionsOct 3, 2025
“I'm gonna take Denver to win close, low scoring game twenty four to twenty three.”
Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 45.3+84.64 skill
How this was scored
score:
21-17
skill:
84.64
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
45.3
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsOct 3, 2025
“I think the Jets at home healthier win twenty eight, twenty seven, take the points.”
Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 19.11-4.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
37-22
skill:
-4.36
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
19.11
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
15
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsOct 3, 2025
“I like the Colts at home to win and cover... twenty eight to twenty Colts win it won't feel this close.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-40
skill:
0
they picked:
IND
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
34
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsOct 3, 2025
“I'm gonna take the Seahawks the three to win and cover twenty eight to twenty three.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Division WinnersOct 3, 2025
“I think they're going to run away now with this division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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