What's Wright with Nick Wright · Aug 23, 2025
Nick Wright gives his current top-nine quarterback ranking led by Patrick Mahomes, argues the Las Vegas Raiders will make the playoffs, warns the Lions could fall from the No. 1 seed to a 10-7 wild-card team, and predicts a bounce-back season for Mahomes and the Chiefs offense.
“I would go one Patrick, two, Josh three, Lamar four, Joe five, Stafford six, Jalen Hurts seven with an asterisk of it's probably too early, but I give it to him, Jaden Daniels eight, Baker”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsDetroit LionsAug 23, 2025
“could I see the Lions going from fifteen to two and the one seed to ten and seven in a wild card? Absolutely?”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 45+70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 70
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsLas Vegas RaidersAug 23, 2025
“that team absolutely can get to nine or ten wins and sneak into the playoffs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- -70
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksLas Vegas RaidersAug 23, 2025
“the Browns are a team that I believe is going to make the play playoffs... And that is the Las Vegas Raiders... So the Raiders plus three point thirty to make the playoffs. That is my early first NFL season long Bet”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Top Player ListsAug 23, 2025
“If you're here, is what my ranking would look like. If I were doing it, I would go one Patrick, two, Josh three, Lamar four, Joe five, Stafford six, Jalen Hurts seven with an asterisk of it's probably too early, but I give it to him, Jaden Daniels eight, Baker And then it gets trickier.”
Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- placed:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 8
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 8: 66.67
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Surprise Team CallsLas Vegas RaidersAug 23, 2025
“there is one bet that I think the odds are going to shift because I think this team is going to become a popular sleeper pick... And that is the Las Vegas Raiders.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Depth Chart CallsJosh SimmonsKansas City ChiefsAug 23, 2025
“I think the Chiefs getting Josh Simmons at pick thirty two as a potential franchise left tackle is as big of an offseason move as any team made.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.