Kiper's latest mock draft, as described on the show, had Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 to Las Vegas, safety Caleb Downs No. 2 to the Jets, Arbel Reese No. 4 to Tennessee, and edge rusher Ruben Behn to Cincinnati in the first round.

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas RaidersFeb 25, 2026

  Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

  “Zero surprise at the top. Fernando Mendoza can start house hunting in Vegas.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  25

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  1

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  75

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseTennessee TitansFeb 25, 2026

  Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

  “The other being the aforementioned Reese, number four overall for Tennessee, and new defensive minded head coach, Robert Saleh.”

  Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  25

  player:

  Arvell Reese

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  95.76

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  5

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  95.76

  predicted pick:

  4

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  75

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York JetsFeb 25, 2026

  Caleb Downs to be picked at number 2

  “Maybe a shock at two, though. A safety Caleb Downs joining Aaron Glenn and the jets.”

  Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  skill:

  25

  player:

  Caleb Downs

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  67.71

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  11

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  67.71

  predicted pick:

  2

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  75

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksRuben BehnCincinnati BengalsFeb 25, 2026

  Ruben Behn to be picked “round one”

  “Mel Kiper had Ruben Behn, Edge rusher, going to Cincy in his latest mock draft... Bane, one of 11 front seven players Mel Kiper has going in round one”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?