Freeland picked the Rams to beat Carolina easily, took the Seahawks laying 10.5 at home against Minnesota because Seattle is far better, and said her model has the Colts winning by roughly 2.6 points over Houston (so the Texans cover but do not win).

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksNov 27, 2025

  “ten and a half points at home against Minnesota... I just think that Seattle's a lot better.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  SEA

  score:

  0-26

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  SEA

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  SEA

  difficulty:

  1.33

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  6

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksNov 27, 2025

  “Do I think they win straight up? Probably not... My model does have four and a half points. I have a three point win for Indianapolis.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksNov 27, 2025

  “Versus car It's at Carolina. It's ten and a half points... I think they win. I think they win going away. This is the best team in football right now”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?