McShay projects the 2026 draft's top of the board: Mendoza first overall to the Raiders, Jeremiah Love inside the top five, Sonny Styles inside the top 10, Ty Simpson as the second quarterback and a first-rounder, and UCF edge Malachi Lawrence as a top-100 pick.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas RaidersMar 2, 2026

  Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

  “the Raiders at one are gonna take Fernando Mendoza”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  1

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveMar 2, 2026

  Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

  “I don't see Jeremiah Love getting out of the top five... He's not getting out of the top five.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Jeremiyah Love

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  3

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  top five (picks 1–5)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsTy SimpsonMar 2, 2026

  Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board

  “Where are you on the second quarterback? ... Ty Simpson. Ty Simpson all day long.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7

  skill:

  60.3

  player:

  Ty Simpson

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  39.7

  position:

  quarterback

  class size:

  10

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  2

  predicted order:

  2

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesMar 2, 2026

  Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

  “And I think Sonny Styles not getting out of the top 10 anymore.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Sonny Styles

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  undrafted

  outcome:

  went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  undrafted

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  0

  predicted pick:

  top 10 (picks 1–10)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonMar 2, 2026

  Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

  “You think he'll be a first rounder? That's what you think? I I would be absolutely shocked if Tysons is not a strong pick... I think it's closer to the Rams than people thought in terms of 13, not 29.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Ty Simpson

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  13

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  first round (picks 1–32)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceMar 2, 2026

  Malachi Lawrence to be picked “top 100 pick” (picks 1–100)

  “So this is a guy who's gonna be top 100 pick who I think has been slept on for way too long.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Malachi Lawrence

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  23

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  top 100 pick (picks 1–100)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?