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James Harrison· Mar 27, 2026

Harrison predicts Dallas would offer two first-round picks (possibly plus a third) for Myles Garrett, doubts Ty Simpson is a first-round pick and says no quarterback other than Simpson-to-the-Raiders will go in the first round, while also saying Simpson will end up with the Raiders.

“I don't even know if I think Tyd Simpson even gets taken in the first round.”

said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick, 1 position order call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 35.4 out of 100, against 44.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
not in the first round (NOT picks 1–32)They said
13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonLas Vegas RaidersMar 27, 2026

    Ty Simpson to be picked “not in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    “I just I don't even know if I think Tyd Simpson even gets taken in the first round.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    not in the first round (NOT picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Position Order CallsTy SimpsonLas Vegas RaidersMar 27, 2026

    Ty Simpson to be 1st quarterback off the board

    “He'll go to the Raiders obviously, because who they got... So he's going to go there, I think just simply because of that. And after that... I don't think another quarterback come out of the first round”

    Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 39.7+31.01 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
    skill:
    31.01
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    39.7
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trade and Signing CallsMyles GarrettDallas CowboysMar 27, 2026

    Myles Garrett to move to Dallas Cowboys

    “they saying it is Dallas. Fifty eight percent saying Dallas... Two first? It's two first, okay, two first, and if they stuttered a little bit, they might throw a third.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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