Rich Eisen · Nov 17, 2025
Eisen endorsed the Eagles' defense carrying them to the NFC championship and the Rams being the NFL's best team, but predicted the NFC North sends only Green Bay and Detroit to the playoffs, that Kansas City wins five of its last seven, that the 49ers make the playoffs, that Baltimore wins the AFC North, and that Tampa Bay wins the NFC South with both the Bucs and Panthers losing their upcoming NFC West road games.
“But I think at the end of the day, the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
10 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersNov 17, 2025
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsNov 17, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
“They have to win five of those games. Absolutely will. ... Absolutely will.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+28.8 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 28.8
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Playoff PicksDetroit LionsNov 17, 2025
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 17, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to win
“Carolina's next game is, by the way, at San Francisco on a Monday night... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 9-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 17, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to win
“And Tampa's next game is here against the Rams... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 7-34
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 17, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“Because, again, the Niners are just too far back to be in a position. I think they do make the playoffs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 144
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia EaglesNov 17, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“Makes sense, and this is not an overreaction. [re: Eagles defense carrying them to the NFC championship]”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensNov 17, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“But at the end of the day, I think the Ravens are going to win the division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“I still believe Tampa has the guys who have been there and done that... and they should win this division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Power RankingsNov 17, 2025
“And, thus, I agree with you. The Rams are the best team in the NFL. This is not an overreaction”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.