Rich Eisen· Nov 17, 2025
Eisen endorsed the Eagles' defense carrying them to the NFC championship and the Rams being the NFL's best team, but predicted the NFC North sends only Green Bay and Detroit to the playoffs, that Kansas City wins five of its last seven, that the 49ers make the playoffs, that Baltimore wins the AFC North, and that Tampa Bay wins the NFC South with both the Bucs and Panthers losing their upcoming NFC West road games.
“But I think at the end of the day, the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
10 checkable claims — 3 playoff picks, 2 division winners, 2 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
9 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 46.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
10 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“I still believe Tampa has the guys who have been there and done that... and they should win this division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- won the division:
- no
- Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia EaglesNov 17, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“Makes sense, and this is not an overreaction. [re: Eagles defense carrying them to the NFC championship]”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensNov 17, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“But at the end of the day, I think the Ravens are going to win the division”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- won the division:
- no
- Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersNov 17, 2025
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsNov 17, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
“They have to win five of those games. Absolutely will. ... Absolutely will.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+28.8 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 28.8
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Playoff PicksDetroit LionsNov 17, 2025
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 17, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina
“Carolina's next game is, by the way, at San Francisco on a Monday night... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 9-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 17, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to beat Tampa
“And Tampa's next game is here against the Rams... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 7-34
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 17, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“Because, again, the Niners are just too far back to be in a position. I think they do make the playoffs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 144
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Power RankingsNov 17, 2025
“And, thus, I agree with you. The Rams are the best team in the NFL. This is not an overreaction”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Richie BradshawScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 83Bradshaw picks the 49ers to beat the Cardinals in their Week 3 matchup, predicting a final score of 27-14 in San Francisco's favor.
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 36Fitzmaurice gave rest-of-season positional rankings for several Chiefs and other skill players, including Mahomes as his QB10, Kenneth Walker as RB4 behind Gibbs, Bijan and McCaffrey, Kelce at TE8 and Worthy down at WR50, and he picked Tampa Bay to beat Minnesota 21-20.
- Derek BrownScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersClose · 40Brown laid out aggressive rest-of-season positional rankings — Mahomes QB8, Kenneth Walker RB3, Kelce up to TE7, Rashee Rice all the way down at WR31 and Worthy at WR42 — called Drake London a WR1 with Penix back, and picked Tampa Bay 21-18 over Minnesota while declaring Zay Flowers will not play in Brazil.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayoff Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 100Brockman argued the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes through Foxborough, meaning the Patriots will finish as the No. 1 seed, and called his shot that the Chargers beat Denver in Week 18. He also declared the Bears a team of destiny who will win the NFC, said the Steelers will end their playoff win drought, and that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Brockman argued the Texans will reach the AFC Championship Game, declared the Chiefs dynasty over, said the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through Lambeau Field, that Josh Allen is still the most dangerous QB and the Bills will win a playoff game (with the AFC East runner-up as the 5 seed winning in Pittsburgh or Baltimore), that Carolina will win the NFC South, that Baltimore finishes under .500 with Lamar no longer a top-five QB, that the Colts should trade for Mac Jones, and that Marcus Freeman will be in the NFL next year.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Brockman argued the Broncos are headed to the AFC Championship Game, that the Cowboys will win the NFC East, that Green Bay is the NFC's best team, and that the Bears will finish no worse than the No. 2 seed in the NFC.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Brockman predicted the AFC South will send at least two teams to the playoffs and called the Texans real contenders.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 100Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.