NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,562
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 344
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,562
takes graded
4,681 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles304 takes
- Los Angeles Rams300 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders254 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals154 takes
- Carolina Panthers155 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
301–325 of 3,881
Round 4 (No. 130 overall): Sawyer Robertson, QB, Baylor
Round 5 (No. 151 overall): Tacario Davis, CB, Washington
Round 3 (No. 87 overall): Ted Hurst, WR, Georgia State
Round 7 (No. 227 overall): Logan Fano, EDGE, Utah
So would you say they were a pick forty that's you know... Chris Johnson, I'll keep going back to that name. I think that's right about where he goes. That's a good value
Round 3 (No. 67 overall): A.J. Haulcy, SAF, LSU
Round 7 (No. 219 overall): Mason Reiger, EDGE, Wisconsin
Round 5 (No. 175 overall): Tristan Leigh, OT, Clemson
Round 4 (No. 134 overall): Davison Igbinosun, CB, Ohio State
Round 4 (No. 117 overall): Jeremiah Wright, IOL, Auburn
Round 2 (No. 36 overall): Denzel Boston, WR, Washington
Round 1 (No. 1 overall): Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana
Round 6 (No. 185 overall): Tyren Montgomery, WR, John Carroll
Round 6 (No. 208 overall): Robert Spears-Jennings, SAF, Oklahoma
Round 4 (No. 102 overall): Domonique Orange, IDL, Iowa State
Brandon Cisse's draft stock has cooled a bit in recent weeks, but he still seems like a likely top-50 pick.
Round 7 (No. 228 overall): Fernando Carmona, IOL, Arkansas
Round 2 (No. 44 overall): Brandon Cisse, CB, South Carolina
Round 7 (No. 242 overall): Trebor Pena, WR, Penn State
Round 4 (No. 103 overall): Jalon Kilgore, SAF, South Carolina
Round 2 (No. 33 overall): Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama
Round 1 (No. 16 overall): Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State
Round 1 (No. 2 overall): Arvell Reese, LB/EDGE, Ohio State
Round 4 (No. 140 overall): Tyreak Sapp, EDGE, Florida
Round 5 (No. 179 overall): Kaelon Black, RB, Indiana