Jaime Eisner· Mar 31, 2026
An unbylined seven-round Raiders mock draft has Las Vegas taking Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza first overall and adding weapons and defensive depth with its remaining nine picks.
“The Las Vegas Raiders will open the 2026 NFL Draft by selecting their new franchise quarterback.”
published in writing · The Draft Network · read the original →
10 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 10 have settled, averaging 39.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season · overall pick41 calls from 30 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Jaime Eisner said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick
Jaime Eisner — 1 overall pickthe room — 41 calls from 30 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pick134They said
62What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
10 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 134
“Round 4 (No. 134 overall): Davison Igbinosun, CB, Ohio State”
Miss · 4Scored 4.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.29
- player:
- Davison Igbinosun
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.42
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 62
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.42
- predicted pick:
- 134
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.29
Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked at number 208
“Round 6 (No. 208 overall): Robert Spears-Jennings, SAF, Oklahoma”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.29
- player:
- Robert Spears-Jennings
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 224
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 50
- predicted pick:
- 208
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.29
Domonique Orange to be picked at number 102
“Round 4 (No. 102 overall): Domonique Orange, IDL, Iowa State”
Close · 42Scored 42.04 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Domonique Orange
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 42.04
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 82
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 42.04
- predicted pick:
- 102
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksMason ReigerLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Mason Reiger to be picked at number 219
“Round 7 (No. 219 overall): Mason Reiger, EDGE, Wisconsin”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Mason Reiger
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 219
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Round 1 (No. 1 overall): Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksTristan LeighLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Tristan Leigh to be picked at number 175
“Round 5 (No. 175 overall): Tristan Leigh, OT, Clemson”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Tristan Leigh
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 175
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Tyren Montgomery to be picked at number 185
“Round 6 (No. 185 overall): Tyren Montgomery, WR, John Carroll”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Tyren Montgomery
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with TEN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 185
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksDenzel BostonLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 36
“Round 2 (No. 36 overall): Denzel Boston, WR, Washington”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 36
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiah WrightLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Jeremiah Wright to be picked at number 117
“Round 4 (No. 117 overall): Jeremiah Wright, IOL, Auburn”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Jeremiah Wright
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 52.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 132
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 52.21
- predicted pick:
- 117
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksA.J. HaulcyLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
A.J. Haulcy to be picked at number 67
“Round 3 (No. 67 overall): A.J. Haulcy, SAF, LSU”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- A.J. Haulcy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 78
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 67
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
What others said about the same people
- Fernando Alfaro-DonisTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option.
- Brandon CarneyTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsMiss · 0Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP.
- John BreechGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Breech picks the Texans to upset the Bills in Houston, trusting Houston's defense to smother Josh Allen, and takes the Raiders to beat the Dolphins by at least a touchdown.
- Judah FortgangGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100PFF's divisional-round same-game parlay picks: Tampa Bay beats Cincinnati with Cade Otton exploiting the Bengals' linebackers, Las Vegas beats Miami behind Kirk Cousins attacking a depleted Dolphins secondary, and Houston beats Buffalo with C.J. Stroud throwing effectively and Jaylin Noel benefiting from the slot matchup.
- Logan LazarczykGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Lazarczyk argues the Raiders' Week 1 home opener against a gutted, tanking Dolphins team should be an easy win, saying Las Vegas has no excuse to lose.
- Dan BeyerGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Beyer's Week 1 survivor pick was the Raiders to beat the Dolphins at home.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rob RangMock Draft Picks · Jeremiah SmithMiss · 0Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · Brandon DoughtyMiss · 3Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable.
- Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks · Gennings DunkerHit · 100Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Eli HeidenreichHit · 100Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
- Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks · Bud ClarkHit · 96In his final 2026 mock draft for the 49ers, Peacock projects San Francisco taking WR Kevin Concepcion (KC) at pick 27, then after trading out of round two, edge rusher Kieron Crawford and safety Bud Clark in round three, OL Trey Zune and RB Jonah Coleman in round four, CB Charles Demings in round five and guard Caden Barnett in round six. He also thinks Omar Cooper comes off the board before Concepcion.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Riley NowakowskiMiss · 13In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round.