NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,539
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 343
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,539
takes graded
4,658 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Los Angeles Rams300 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles296 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- New England Patriots274 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders253 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals154 takes
- Carolina Panthers155 takes
- Indianapolis Colts168 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
3676–3700 of 3,881
1 Bijan Robinson Texas 6.990 / 2 Jahmyr Gibbs Alabama 6.738 / 3 Roschon Johnson Texas 6.154 / 4 Kendre Miller TCU 6.152 / 5 Deuce Vaughn Kansas State 6.106
1 Michael Mayer Notre Dame 6.786 / 2 Dalton Kincaid Utah 6.735 / 3 Sam LaPorta Iowa 6.363 / 4 Tucker Kraft South Dakota State 6.362 / 5 Josh Whyle Cincinnati 6.360
1 Joe Tippmann Wisconsin 6.399 / 2 Olusegun Oluwatimi Michigan 6.290 / 3 John Michael Schmitz Minnesota 6.180 / 4 Luke Wypler Ohio State 6.104 / 5 Ricky Stromberg Arkansas 5.900
1 Quentin Johnston TCU 7.070 / 2 Jordan Addison USC 6.880 / 3 Jalin Hyatt Tennessee 6.870 / 4 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Ohio State 6.785 / 5 Josh Downs North Carolina 6.712
1 Will Levis Kentucky 7.050 / 2 Bryce Young Alabama 6.980 / 3 C.J. Stroud Ohio St. 6.960 / 4 Anthony Richardson Florida 6.790 / 5 Hendon Hooker Tennessee 6.739
1 Broderick Jones Georgia 7.080 / 2 Paris Johnson Ohio St. 6.890 / 3 Dawand Jones Ohio State 6.787 / 4 Anton Harrison Oklahoma 6.727 / 5 Darnell Wright Tennessee 6.726
1 Christian Gonzalez Oregon 6.975 / 2 Emmanuel Forbes Mississippi St. 6.750 / 3 Devon Witherspoon Illinois 6.740 / 4 Joey Porter Jr. Penn St. 6.728 / 5 Kelee Ringo Georgia 6.715
1 Will Anderson Alabama 7.00 / 2 Tyree Wilson Texas Tech 6.97 / 3 Myles Murphy Clemson 6.731 / 4 Lukas Van Ness Iowa 6.725 / 5 Byron Young Tennessee 6.500
1 Brian Branch Alabama 6.729 / 2 Jammie Robinson Florida St. 6.280 / 3 Sydney Brown Illinois 6.270 / 4 Antonio Johnson Texas A&M 6.260 / 5 Ji'Ayir Brown Penn State 6.150
Singletary likely is headed to a new team in a backup role.
he probably will sign with another team as a second- or third-string back
Fournette is likely headed to a new team in a backup role.
Here's a look at the best players available on the open market. 1. Jessie Bates, S ... 150. Evan Brown, IOL
Best Bet to win Defensive Player of the Year ... Parsons was second in voting behind Bosa in Defensive Player of the Year voting for 2022 ... » Bet it now: +650
Sleeper Bet to win Defensive Player of the Year: Any time you can get Aaron Donald considered a “sleeper” for a year-end award, go for it.
Florida QB Anthony Richardson (scouting report) will elevate and solidify his top-10 pick status after a combine in which he tests extremely well in all the measurables
For the current wide receiver market, Smith-Schuster could be an affordable high-end WR2.
he probably will sign with another team as a second- or third-string back
Singletary likely is headed to a new team in a backup role.
Parris Campbell is a dependable WR2/WR3.
He's a good low-budget WR3 to add depth to a team's roster
Top 150 Free Agents — 1. Lamar Jackson, QB ... 150. Sam Darnold, QB
Top 10 Free Agent Running Backs — 10. Jerick McKinnon ... 1. Saquon Barkley, New York Giants
And while it might be surprising if Cincinnati missed the playoffs this year, it took some luck to make the Super Bowl last year
DK Metcalf Finishes In the Top 10 For Receiving Yards