NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,670
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 349
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,670
takes graded
4,789 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR53 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles315 takes
- Los Angeles Rams301 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens283 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders262 takes
- Seattle Seahawks246 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- Carolina Panthers156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
876–900 of 3,881
Do you think Ty Simpson of Alabama looked at the landscape and said, yeah, I'm the third best quarterback right now, and that's a good position to be in in this draft. I may have to go late first, early second
McDonald's probably I think I think he deserves it this year, and that's over by guy Ben Johnson.
in the last twelve hours, I'm like Big Jacksonville, Big Chicago
two of the next four years, I think you have a top ten quarterback Lamar Jackson
So I go McVeigh, Jim Harbaugh, Shanahan, Peyton Vrabel, and Mike McDonald... I would go Ben Johnson seven and then Demiko Ryans eight
I think we'll see highly effective eleven and six can win the division.
I think they can beat Houston. I honestly do.
I will be shocked if he isn't a top ten quarterback for the next decade
I think Herbert, like you do, is a superstar so I really like them to I think they're gonna win the game
He is my number one choice, Rabel and everything Colleen said.
Yeah, I have him as my number one new I would probably put Pokinakua second
everyone just knows obvious Miles Garrett is going to win the award, So I think we all probably would agree with that
stats guys say, it's May by a mile ... But to me, it's like the running that kind of puts it over the top ... Would be Stafford's second.
I'm going to go for my number one with Houston Texans defensive coordinator Matt Burke
Teed McMillan was my one. I couldn't decide between Shuck and Dart for the second
I've been Matthew Stafford MVP all year. I'm sticking with Matthew Stafford MVP.
I was between Matthew Stafford and Drake May, and I'm giving the award to Drake May.
I think Drake May will win the MVP. I don't really, but I'm going with Matthew Stafford.
I'm going to stick with where I was at, which was McDonald one, Kyle Shanahan two, and Ben Johnson three.
It is Miles Garrett. If I were going to do a ballot somewhere on there...
Let's go offensive Rookie of the Year. I've already kind of made said my piece on this one, which was Tetero McMillan
I have Jon Robinson as my number one because to me, it's just best player in the ... So Bijon gets the Offensive Player of the Year
I went with Jackson Smith and Jig Bow. He just was so on it this entire year.
He's doing it for one of the best defense in the league. So he's my choice too.
But the TV analysts are like my dear friend Matthew Award and that is why I think he's gonna get Matt staff