NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1951–1975 of 3,881
that is the nobody believes in US underdog Kansas City Chiefs to go over eleven and a half wins
that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over nine and a half
I don't see them as a Super Bowl contender, but I do see them as a playoff team.
And then I also think our sleeper is you know, King Grizzard down in Tampa Bay.
my pick is going to be Titans offensive line coach Bill Callahan
I'm going Michael Parsons Defensive Player of the Year
you mentioned Jalen Cocher, an undrafted rookie last year, will now be their starting slot receiver
I'm going to take the third favorite to win it as my pick, which is Jamiir Gibbs.
It tells me they like obviously t Mac being their tet. They really really appreciate that he's going to emerge... As their one.
He's he's going to be their number three receiver when Jordan Adison is back, but he's absolutely their number two receiver.
But Aiden Hutchinson is probably gonna win that award.
and this is going to sound like a Homer take, but Joe Burrow will win the MVP this year
which makes me way happier to pick Travis Hunter, who's fourth on the list... So I am not only taking him for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
And so I'm going with Mike Vrabel here
he'll just go back to being the three and the safety net once once you know the injured guys and suspended guys come back
I'm going Jesse Minter on assistant Coach the Year
I still picked Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the year.
Your MVP for twenty twenty five is... Patrick Mahomes
Jamar Chase, I think, is my Offensive Player of the Year pick this year.
Other than that would be my sleeper because I am there there's some magical potential of Johad Campbell in this Eagles
We did it separately and we ended up on the exact same page... I just think he is ready to remind everyone who he is.
I went for a more under the radar guy in terms of the odds... Aaron Glenn is the fourth favorite... if they win nine games, I could see him winning.
I'm having him pull the Daily Double. Let's go Defensive Rookie of the Year. He wins him both.
I think Jared Verse has a real shot whoa defensive Player of the Year.
It's Trevion Henderson... I think that the Patriots rookie running back Travion Henderson could be the offensive Rookie of the Year.