Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 19, 2025
Fitzmorris laid out his Week 3 wide receiver ranks: Jefferson sixth, Brian Thomas Jr. tenth, AJ Brown 11th, Tee Higgins 24th, George Pickens 22nd, Rome Odunze 27th, Jaylen Waddle 32nd, plus Piersall 34, Ridley 35 and Jennings 37.
“I've got him right now at wide receiver ten myself.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
9 checkable claims — 9 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 11.1 out of 100, against 30.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish24They said
11What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesTee HigginsCincinnati BengalsSep 19, 2025
Tee Higgins to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“you got him at wide receiver twenty four, so you got him to the wide receiver two”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 33.33-63 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -63
- player:
- Tee Higgins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 19
- actual finish:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 24
Justin Jefferson to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
“you guys both have him at six”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Justin Jefferson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 2
- actual finish:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 6
- Positional FinishesGeorge PickensDallas CowboysSep 19, 2025
George Pickens to finish top 22 at his position, by fantasy points
“You guys both have them high twenty two for fits”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- George Pickens
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 41
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 22
- Positional FinishesJaylen WaddleMiami DolphinsSep 19, 2025
Jaylen Waddle to finish top 32 at his position, by fantasy points
“Jalen Waddle. I've got AMIT wide receiver thirty two, his ECRs wide receiver thirty eight.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jaylen Waddle
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 48
- actual finish:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 32
Brian Thomas Jr. to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“I've got him right now at wide receiver ten myself.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Brian Thomas Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 45
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 10
- Positional FinishesCalvin RidleyTennessee TitansSep 19, 2025
Calvin Ridley to finish top 35 at his position, by fantasy points
“Calvin Ridley wide receiver thirty five”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Calvin Ridley
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 25
- actual finish:
- 113
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 35
- Positional FinishesA.J. BrownPhiladelphia EaglesSep 19, 2025
A.J. Brown to finish top 11 at his position, by fantasy points
“You've got him at eleven.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 83.33-31.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -31.5
- player:
- A.J. Brown
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 17
- actual finish:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 11
Ricky Pearsall to finish top 34 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have got Ridley, Ricky piersall wide receiver thirty four”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 75-141.75 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -141.75
- player:
- Ricky Pearsall
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 81
- actual finish:
- 78
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 34
Jauan Jennings to finish top 37 at his position, by fantasy points
“Juwan Jennings wide receiver thirty seven”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 83.33-94.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -94.5
- player:
- Jauan Jennings
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 27
- actual finish:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 37
What others said about the same people
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Reddy StewardMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player he expects Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. He also predicts Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere.
- Brian PeacockRoster Spot Calls · Sebastian ValdezMiss · 0Peacock lays out his projected 53-man roster for the 49ers, position by position: three specialists, three quarterbacks (including Curtis Rourke), five running backs, six receivers (cutting Christian Kirk), three tight ends (cutting Braden Willis), nine offensive linemen, ten defensive linemen (with Mykel Williams on PUP), five linebackers, six cornerbacks and four safeties. He also predicts a new player will take center snaps in preseason week three.
- Tom JensenRoster Spot Calls · Sebastian ValdezMiss · 0Jensen projects the 49ers' final 53-man roster ahead of the August 30 cutdown, naming a long list of players he expects to be released outright, another group he expects to be cut and return on the practice squad ("boomerang cuts"), and three borderline players (Jordan James, Jacob Cowing, James Thompson Jr.) he believes San Francisco will keep.
- Fox SportsRoster Spot Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100FOX Sports projects Kyle McCord as Miami's backup behind starter Malik Willis, Mitchell Trubisky as Tennessee's primary backup behind starter Cam Ward, and J.J. McCarthy making the Vikings' 53-man roster.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Ameer AbdullahHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Carson WentzHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonPositional Finishes · Christian GonzalezMiss · 0Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.