John Middlekauff · Apr 3, 2025
The former NFL scout says Cam Ward goes No. 1 overall to Tennessee, expects Miami to collapse to four or five wins and a top-four pick with Tyreek Hill possibly traded, sees the 49ers beating expectations at nine or ten wins, and likes the Patriots at eight or nine wins and the Chargers to clear their number.
“This guy's going the number one pick all because he transferred.”
said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsApr 3, 2025
“So I think the Niners probably more likely to win nine or ten games.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 5+110 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- naive:
- 7.25
- skill:
- 110
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 5
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsApr 3, 2025
“Why couldn't they go nine to eight this year?... I could see the Patriots winning eight or nine games.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsApr 3, 2025
“It would not shock me to see them struggle to win four or five games. I think they're going to be terrible.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIA
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksApr 3, 2025
“I mean the Titans from what I've heard, I was in Nashville month ago, pretty good source. They've been dead set on him for like a month. This guy's going the number one pick”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Season Win TotalsApr 3, 2025
“Well this year it's nine and a half... Why couldn't they win twelve games? I mean, they're over under right now is nine and a half. I think they are a lock.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- naive:
- 9.75
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Trade and Signing CallsApr 3, 2025
“It would not surprise me at all if this Tyreek situation doesn't go away and he ends up playing for another team this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Team Draft Slot CallsApr 3, 2025
“Maybe they don't have the number one overall pick, but I could see him being like the giants of the Patriots draft in three or four.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Surprise Team CallsApr 3, 2025
“I think a lot of people are gonna think they're gonna win like six or seven games. I think they're gonna be better than people think.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.