Joe Dolan · Jul 5, 2025
Dolan sees no fantasy value in Darren Waller's return with Miami (projecting him as roughly TE33), but loves Devon Achane's passing-game upside with Jonnu Smith gone, Rashee Rice as a discounted target hog who leads the Chiefs in targets, Kenneth Walker as a bell-cow at a cheap price, Jordan Addison as badly underpriced, Darnell Mooney as too cheap, Isaiah Likely as a late-round breakout, and Devaughn Vele as the Broncos' starting slot man.
“We ran our projections at Fantasy Points immediately after the trade and he came out as tight end thirty three.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
12 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Sleeper CallsJul 5, 2025
“he is the expert Consensus RB six he's going in the second round. But with John new Smith gone, I think there's massive upside for a Chan in the passing game.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- expert Consensus RB six he's going in the second round
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- De'Von Achane
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- cost round:
- 2
- had to beat:
- RB5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Player Season NumbersJul 5, 2025
“I could see him taking a step forward into being a sixty catch tight end.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 64.42-128.84 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 32.84
- skill:
- -128.84
- what happened:
- 27
- player:
- Isaiah Likely
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 64.42
- predicted:
- 60
- statistic:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 42
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 23.69
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Sleeper CallsJul 5, 2025
“So I see a potential bell Cow profile getting drafted in like the fifth sixth round... I love Kenneth Walker this year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- drafted in like the fifth sixth round
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Kenneth Walker III
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- cost round:
- 6
- had to beat:
- RB24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB21
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsJul 5, 2025
“it's like a ten year run of either Travis Kelcey or Tyreek Hill leading the Chiefs and targets. I think that changes this year. I think Rashee Rice gets it done.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 83.33+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- KC
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Rashee Rice
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 3
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesJul 5, 2025
“I think he's got an opportunity to finishes a real wide receiver one with Patrick Mahomes this year”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Rashee Rice
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 97
- actual finish:
- 41
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 12
- Positional FinishesJul 5, 2025
“We ran our projections at Fantasy Points immediately after the trade and he came out as tight end thirty three.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Darren Waller
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- no prior season — the startable tier at TE
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 12
- actual finish:
- 27
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 33
- Sleeper CallsJul 5, 2025
“But I like Likely at his price way more than I like Mark Andrews, and I could see him taking a step forward into being a sixty catch tight end.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Depth Chart CallsJul 5, 2025
“This is I just think Devon Valley is poised to be the starting slot receiver for the Broncos”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsJul 5, 2025
“and the key he's free. He's an eighteenth round pick on underdog. People are taking Pat Bryan ahead of him.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsJul 5, 2025
“You're already getting a discount in ADP, You're getting a discount and expert consensus ranking. I think he's got an opportunity to finishes a real wide receiver one with Patrick Mahomes this year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsJul 5, 2025
“Jordan Addison is way underpriced to me... He's wide receiver thirty five by expert consensus ranking... The thirty fifth in the ranking for a guy who's been the twentieth wide receiver over the last two years.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsJul 5, 2025
“But I just think Darnell Mooney's too cheap and because of that cost, I have been drafting him a lot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.