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Kyle Brandt· Oct 15, 2025

Named the Colts the best team in the NFL right now, ahead of the Chiefs, Lions, Rams and Buccaneers, also saying the Chiefs will host at least one playoff game, expecting the Chargers to make the playoffs, and calling rookie Tyler Warren maybe the league's best tight end.

I have the Colts right now, as it says right there, week seven is the best team in the NFL.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 1 playoff pick, 1 positional finishe, 1 power ranking and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 68.9 out of 100, against 60.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs

    The Chargers are a very good team. We probably expect to be in the playoffs.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LAC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsOct 15, 2025

    I have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of five... I have the Rams at four... number three... I have the Lions... number two... I have the Chiefs... I'm going with the Coats as the number one team right now

    Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 40+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    40
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tyler Warren to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards

    I think they may already have the best tight end in the league in a rookie who's played just a handful of games in Tyler Warren.

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 41.67+41.75 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    41.75
    player:
    Tyler Warren
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    41.67
    position:
    TE
    ranked by:
    receiving yards
    difficulty:
    1.67
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — the startable tier at TE
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    12
    actual finish:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    12
    predicted finish:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to take the top seed

    Are you any if there's any doubt right now that the Chiefs are gonna have at least one home playoff game?

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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