Pat Fitzmaurice· Oct 30, 2025
Fitzmorris gave his Week 9 wide receiver rankings, going higher than consensus on Rashee Rice, Michael Pittman, Tee Higgins, Wan'Dale Robinson and Jameson Williams while ranking both Jaguars receivers below consensus. He also said Travis Hunter overtaking Brian Thomas as Jacksonville's No. 1 receiver is fiction and ranked with the expectation Kyler Murray plays.
“I just I still worry about the lack of chemistry between Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Junior.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
11 checkable claims — 9 positional finishes and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 11 have settled, averaging 31.8 out of 100, against 28.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
11 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesRashee RiceKansas City ChiefsOct 30, 2025
Rashee Rice to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“you two are both quite a bit higher than consensus on Rashi Rice, Fitz, You've got him at four”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Rashee Rice
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 97
- actual finish:
- 41
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 4
- Positional FinishesTee HigginsCincinnati BengalsOct 30, 2025
Tee Higgins to finish top 18 at his position, by fantasy points
“FITZI you are, You're a high man here. You've got him at eighteen.”
Close · 42Scored 41.67a naive guess scored 33.33+13 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 13
- player:
- Tee Higgins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 41.67
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 19
- actual finish:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 18
Wan'Dale Robinson to finish top 27 at his position, by fantasy points
“He's only at thirty one. Fitzi, you've got him at twenty seven.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 0+104 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 104
- player:
- Wan'Dale Robinson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 53
- actual finish:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 27
- Positional FinishesJameson WilliamsDetroit LionsOct 30, 2025
Jameson Williams to finish top 29 at his position, by fantasy points
“He comes in as wide receiver thirty five, and both of you guys say, no, no... Fitzy, you've got him at twenty nine.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 75-117 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -117
- player:
- Jameson Williams
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 13
- actual finish:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 29
Michael Pittman to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“FITZI, you are the wide receiver one on Michael Pittman... Yeah, and I do have Pittman ahead of Pickens.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Michael Pittman
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 46
- actual finish:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 12
Marvin Harrison Jr. to finish top 22 at his position, by fantasy points
“He is wide receiver eighteen. You guys are a little bit flipped on this Fitz a year a little bit lower at twenty two”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Marvin Harrison Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 26
- actual finish:
- 48
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 22
Brian Thomas Jr. to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“more significantly about Brian Thomas. Fitzi, you're at twenty four”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Brian Thomas Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 45
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 24
Quentin Johnston to finish top 32 at his position, by fantasy points
“ECR thirty two. Fitzy, you've got him at thirty two”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 33.33+52 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 52
- player:
- Quentin Johnston
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 32
Brian Thomas Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“Fact or fiction. Travis Hunter is the number one wide receiver in Jacksonville over Brian Thomas. Rest of season ericson in fact, FITZI fiction”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 83.33+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- JAX
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Brian Thomas Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayArizona CardinalsOct 30, 2025
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“And I am making this ranking with the projection that Kyler Murray is going to play”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- ARI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Kyler Murray
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Travis Hunter to finish top 30 at his position, by fantasy points
“Travis Hunter is ECR twenty seven. Fitzi you're at thirty”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- CB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at CB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 30
What others said about the same people
- Thomas MartinezRoster Spot Calls · Patrick HerbertMiss · 0Martinez projects the Chargers' starting lineups on offense and defense for their Week 3 game at Buffalo, with injuries forcing several changes — Oronde Gadsden II at tight end, Trevor Penning at left guard, Jamaree Caldwell at defensive tackle and RJ Mickens at safety — while expecting Ladd McConkey to play and Marquez Valdez-Scantling to debut.
- Tyler SullivanRoster Spot Calls · Jake HaenerMiss · 0Sullivan expects the Giants, thin at quarterback after Jaxson Dart's season-ending knee injury, to elevate Jake Haener from the practice squad for Week 3.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Devin DuvernayHit · 100PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Ameer AbdullahHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Noah ComptonRoster Spot Calls · Caden CurryHit · 100After the Colts' preseason finale loss to Detroit, Compton projected several roster and depth-chart outcomes: Daniel Jones as the starting quarterback, rookie A.J. Haulcy as the starting strong safety, Seth McGowan as the backup running back, and rookie defensive ends George Gumbs Jr. and Caden Curry making the initial 53-man roster, while receiver Deion Burks appears likely to be cut.
- Patricia TrainaRoster Spot Calls · Paulson AdeboHit · 100Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonPositional Finishes · Christian GonzalezMiss · 0Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.