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Fantasy Bust Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
409
Graded
38

9% settled

Average accuracy
57.9

out of 100

Pundits
47

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
22 scored 80+16 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

38 / 409

graded

371 still pending

Who is good at fantasy bust calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every fantasy bust calls take

351–375 of 409

  • PendingScott BogmanFantasy Bust Calls

    Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver nine currently ECR twenty overall)

    Yeah, it's Milak Neighbors and it's not I'm not completely out. I just do think he's a reach right now.

    Malik Nabers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls

    Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (QB seven and ECR sixty overall)

    I'm probably a little bit more aggressive about my fade on Jackson Dart.

    Jaxson Dart

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls

    DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty eight and ECR ... sixty one overall)

    I don't think he's going to thrive in Buffalo... we're getting the count on DJ Moore. But is the upside really there? I don't know that it is.

    DJ MooreBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingSeth WoolcockFantasy Bust Calls

    Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (tight end nine one oh four overall)

    but here at tight end nine one oh four overall, it's just too pricey for me

    Dalton KincaidBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingSeth WoolcockFantasy Bust Calls

    Christian Watson to fall short of his draft cost (ECR fifty seven, overall wide receiver twenty seven)

    when I looked at his overall ECR fifty seven, overall wide receiver twenty seven, I have in my own day Moore, Yeah, I'm at seventy one. So I am like fourteen spots below consensus.

    Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls

    Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen in ECR fifty overall)

    I think we need to look at him more as somebody who is probably going to offer us low end RB two upside and draft him appropriately

    Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls

    Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (RB thirteen to twenty nine overall)

    So there's a lot of variables in here that are happening, and I think I might just want to sit this one out and not have to deal with it and go with more stable options that are being drafted after him.

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingSeth WoolcockFantasy Bust Calls

    Sam LaPorta to fall short of his draft cost (a top one hundred pick)

    I just don't see the value in using and burning a top one hundred pick on someone like Sam laport

    Sam LaPorta

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls

    CeeDee Lamb to fall short of his draft cost (eight overall wide receiver five)

    the best case scenario for Ceede Lamb is probably a round wide receiver eight to ten and that's eight to twelve really... But we're drafting him over that

    CeeDee LambDallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls

    Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (a top ten tight end)

    I don't want any part of Dalton Kincaid... But we're still drafting him as a top ten tight end when we have not seen that top ten output

    Dalton KincaidBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingScott BogmanFantasy Bust Calls

    Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (a quarterback within the top ten)

    But if we're picking one of the guys inside the top ten to not reach his expectation, I think it has to be Dart.

    Jaxson Dart

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingSeth WoolcockFantasy Bust Calls

    Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen in ECR fifty overall)

    So I'm one hundred percent with you here. I am fading Bucky Irving. He right now RB nineteen in ECR fifty overall

    Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingScott BogmanFantasy Bust Calls

    Kenneth Walker III to fall short of his draft cost (running back eleven)

    So I just think that he's too expended for where I want to buy him currently. Is his ZCR I believe is running back eleven and I have him at sixteen.

    Kenneth Walker IIIKansas City Chiefs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingScott BogmanFantasy Bust Calls

    Parker Washington to fall short of his draft cost (wide Receiver forty one)

    So I'm not going to be int in Parker Washington for this season... right now as it stands today, I just think Parker Washington is overpriced.

    Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingScott BogmanFantasy Bust Calls

    Jalen Coker to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifty three)

    I'm not as in on cocer as other people are, so I'm gonna be out.

    Jalen CokerCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingBob HarrisFantasy Bust Calls

    Parker Washington to fall short of his draft cost (wide Receiver forty one)

    is it too credit of a room at wide Receiver forty one... Too crowded of a room for me

    Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026
  • PendingMarcas GrantFantasy Bust Calls

    George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (top five tight end)

    I'm scared to touch George Kittle at where he's probably going to go... I just don't love the idea of taking him right after Achilles surgery

    George KittleSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingLaQuan JonesFantasy Bust Calls

    George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (top five tight end)

    I honestly think like George Kittle going off the board as a top five. That's a huge mistake

    George KittleSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingAndrew EricksonFantasy Bust Calls

    Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver seventeen)

    Devanta Adams I have basically buried He's outside my top twenty four wide receivers... So even at wide receiver seventeen, I think this is a really risky pick.

    Davante AdamsLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Keon Coleman to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)

    when I was writing up the top two fifty players like Kean Coleman fully out

    Keon ColemanBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Marquise Brown to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)

    Marque's Hollywood Brown Again, all of these guys that are like back of the you know, final round picks for people, count me out on all of them

    Marquise BrownKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four)

    So in real time ADP, he's around wide receiver twenty four. I just to me, I don't see any meat on the bone where you're drafting him there.

    Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan WormeliFantasy Bust Calls

    Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top sixty five picks)

    I am out on Zay Flowers this year. Part of it is the cost... the real time ADP is inside the top sixty five picks... I don't think the cost aligns with the ceiling.

    Zay FlowersBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls

    Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver two)

    will you find say Flowers and my players to avoid article Yes, because he was priced as a wide receiver two. I don't want to pay a wide receiver two price tag for him

    Zay FlowersBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls

    Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the twelfth wide receiver on the consensus ADP)

    I'm a pretty firm pass on Tyreek Hill... he's a pass for me. I don't want a lot of shares.

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.