NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,562
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 344
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,562
takes graded
4,681 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles304 takes
- Los Angeles Rams300 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders254 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals154 takes
- Carolina Panthers155 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
451–475 of 3,881
Because Carnel Tate's viewed as a top ten pick.
The only thing we know for certain is for Mendoza is going number one.
Sadik. I mean that's I don't know if he's gonna go top five, but he's going in the top ten.
So I think the I think Jeremiah lovkick goes high as four with the Titans, I mean the Giants... I think the farthest key word of quote unquote fall would be the Saints at eight... he's not sniffing falling out of the of the top ten.
And Carnel Tate same thing. He's gonna go in the top twenty.
Caleb Downs I didn't even think did that much at the combine. Don't blame him, He's a lock top ten pick
with the one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth, round The Denver broncos Select Taylan Green, arkansas
Why mendoza doesn't work out because he's, nos he's a lock for number one and he has nothing to gain from working out
everyone's looking for one of these types of players AND i think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks
there's one it's going to Be Kenyan steck that's called on day one and then after that there's a lot of disagreement about tight end two
so now that he might be like a third round, PICK i like him as much as anyone else in this class other Than Mendoza
HOOD I think it is able to show up and solidify himself as as a first round pick with a with a workout like this
with a workout like, that he could BE rb three in this. Class
Yeah, it feels the same for me there. I got him as my number two quarterback as well.
I think right now depecking order would probably suggest that Ty Simpson is next... But he is certainly after Mendoza to me, he's next in line to come off the board.
To me, Man, we're talking about a top five pick... you could talk yourself in and take him and within one the first four five picks.
Omar Cooper I think helped himself the four to four. He's the first rounder now... He's the safest maybe of all those wide receivers, which will help him get drafted in the first round.
Are we to talk about Mike Washington coming off the board on day two, second or third round. Somewhere in that conversation, his name has to come up.
But Red, I think he locked himself in to the first round.
If he can find a system that really allows him to utilize that athleticism roaming the back end, he's going to be a Pro Bowl player in the NFL
He'll probably I'm going to say he's going to be a top ten pick after what he just put on display for everybody.
So my take is I could see the Rams late in first round saying listen, Stafford signs a two year deal. This kid's not ready to play.
You might see him both off in the top five. Rvel Reese in Sonny in Sonny styles
freak athlete, explosive to me, first round lock you can lock him in
in RVL, Reese obviously is probably has a better shot at top five at this point just because of the thought that he's an edge rusher