NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,562
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 344
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,562
takes graded
4,681 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles304 takes
- Los Angeles Rams300 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders254 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals154 takes
- Carolina Panthers155 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
501–525 of 3,881
He could end up with Jalen Waddle like seventeen hundred yard eight touchdown season. It wouldn't surprise me.
here's a team we both have as a playoff team. That's the Denver Broncos. They should bounce back strong once again.
I would be stunned if he didn't go number one, right. I think it's highly unlike that he goes anywhere but Vegas.
I don't think that's going to prevent them from taking a running back in the in the top ten.
his buddy Jadarium Price, who might be the second running back off the board
he's slotted He's going to the Raiders. Let's go to pick number two... But Mendoza there's not a debate about where he's going to go in this class.
He is clearly a top fifty player. DJ has him as a top twenty player. Bucky. To me, that's a first round pick right there.
Jeremiah Love going to run the running back from Notre Dame, top running back in this class
showed you just about everything you could ever want to see from a quarterback prospect that is likely going to go number one overall
Jeneium Price has a chance to maybe he could potentially get into the back of the first round, but I think he's a second round pick all day every day.
So you know, I have up updated list that's out there now. My initial list. He was my fortieth player. He's still around that range for me
But Jeremiah Love, who will be a top ten pick more than likely.
No one's gonna take regardless of how well Ty Simpson competes and throws at the combine, is gonna take him over.
you don't need to because Mendoz is gonna go number one. No one's gonna take regardless of how well Ty Simpson competes and throws at the combine, is gonna take him over.
Dalton Kinkaid is number nine on this list, but jake them outside of the top twelve at sixteen... Jake, you've got him at tight end thirteen [Likely]
Personally, I think I'd still flip those. I'll still put a healthy Lamar Jackson at number two, but that's just me.
he's gonna be starting quarterback where I don't know, but it's gonna be somewhere... But I'm confident he's going to start somewhere.
I have Alan Lamar May Daniels as my top four... So he's at six [Burrow]... you've got him at ten [Herbert]... c J. Stroud is at ECR of twenty but you've got him at twenty five... JKM at twenty six [Darnold]... You have n't at seventeen [Daniel Jones]
So that's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine... So that's why I have him QB six [Herbert]... you've got him at QB thirteen [Love]... he is ECR of eighteen, but you've got him at fourteen [Mayfield]... you've got him at nineteen [Murray]... Andrew, you have him at twenty three [Darnold]
his tight end ten in the ECR, but you've got him all the way at thirteen [Gadsden]... expert concetsus asm at five. But Andrew, you got him only at eight [Kraft]... So Andrew, you've got him a tight end twelve [Likely]
Because Isaiah Likely is going to a team where he's going to be the lead option... he's going to go to a team because he's a free agent. Somebody's going to pay through the nose for him
ECR is sixteen, but you have him at ten. And I hate myself, but I agree with you. I think he is much closer to ten than he is to where the ECR has him.
So I have Bejeon and Gibbs, Tier, McCaffrey, Taylor, a Chan, Cook, Hampton, Berkley, Henry... ECR is sixteen, but you have him at ten [Kyren]... you have him a little lower. You have an eleven [Jeanty]... you've got at RB twelve [Chase Brown]... Jake, you've got him a twenty six [Skattebo]... you've got him at thirty three [Dowdle]... you have Tony Pollard here at thirty eight... Chewba Hubbard ECR thirty two. You've got him all the way forty two... he's ECR sixty one, but you've got him at fifty five [Sean Tucker]
I am one hundred percent in agreement that Kyle Williams still deserves to be a top ten running back until further notice.
Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB ten... you have him at RB seven [Chase Brown]... You've got him just cracking that group at twelve [Breece Hall]... you've got him a little bit lower on RB fifteen [Jeremiah Love]... you've got him all the way that thirty eight [Monangai]... He's ECR of twenty from jam all the way at thirty four [Stevenson]... you've got him all the way the forty four [Woody Marks]... He's forty one. But you've got him all the way at twenty eight [Allgeier]