Brady Quinn· Feb 23, 2026
Quinn argued the combine doesn't matter for draft stock and asserted that Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick regardless of how Ty Simpson performs at the combine.
“Mendoz is gonna go number one.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2025 season · overall pick17 calls from 13 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Brady Quinn said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaFeb 23, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“you don't need to because Mendoz is gonna go number one. No one's gonna take regardless of how well Ty Simpson competes and throws at the combine, is gonna take him over.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Prospect vs Prospect CallsFernando MendozaFeb 23, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be drafted ahead of Ty Simpson
“No one's gonna take regardless of how well Ty Simpson competes and throws at the combine, is gonna take him over.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- Fernando Mendoza drafted ahead of Ty Simpson
- draft:
- 2026
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Fernando Mendoza went 1, Ty Simpson went 13
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Ty Simpson
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Fernando MendozaHit · 100Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Shannon SharpeProspect vs Prospect Calls · Fernando MendozaHit · 100Sharpe expects Myles Garrett, now with the Rams, to remain dominant and post at least 14-15 sacks, and he also thinks Micah Parsons will again reach double-digit sacks. He predicts the Dolphins win only two games this season, and says Jeremiah Smith won't go ahead of Mendoza at the top of the draft.
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Fernando MendozaHit · 100Cowherd is high on Fernando Mendoza, calling him a first-round prospect who fits none of the bust profiles, and expects Kirk Cousins to open the season as the starter. Among his five bold predictions he has Justin Herbert winning multiple playoff games and Caleb Williams winning MVP.
- Jaime EisnerMock Draft Picks · Fernando MendozaHit · 100A seven-round Raiders mock draft projecting Fernando Mendoza first overall to Las Vegas and nine additional picks, including Denzel Boston in Round 2 and A.J. Haulcy in Round 3.
- Chris BrockmanPosition Order Calls · Fernando MendozaHit · 100Brockman argued four Ohio State players will be taken in the top 10, that Fernando Mendoza will be the first QB off the board and top Tom Brady's 2001 statistical line as a rookie, that Jeremiah Love will beat Ashton Jeanty's rookie production, that tight ends Kenyan Sadiq and Eli Stowers both go top 20, that Ty Simpson is the second QB drafted in round one and starts Week 1, that Jimmy Garoppolo gets the Cardinals over .500, and that Mike Evans leaves Tampa for a contender and goes further in the playoffs than the Bucs.
- Rich EisenMock Draft Picks · Fernando MendozaHit · 100Eisen endorsed four Ohio State players going in the top 10 (with Arvel Reese no lower than seventh), listed Mendoza, Jeremiah Love, Miami's left tackle, Penn State's interior guard and Bailey as top-10 picks, said Love won't get out of the top five, and agreed Mendoza's rookie numbers would beat Brady's 2001 line and that Mike Evans will leave Tampa to chase a ring.
More prospect vs prospect calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Mike RennerProspect vs Prospect Calls · Jordan SeatonMiss · 0Renner ranks the top 10 offensive tackle prospects in the upcoming draft class and assigns each an early draft grade, with Trevor Goosby a top-10 pick, Jordan Seaton a first-rounder, and Cayden Green likely the first guard drafted; he also expects Seaton to be picked higher than Olu Fashanu's 11th-overall slot.
- Chad RaderProspect vs Prospect Calls · Akheem MesidorHit · 100As read on the show, Reuter's three-round NFL.com mock has the same top four, then Delane to the Giants at five, Makai Lemmon to the Browns, Downs to Washington, Love to the Saints, Caden Proctor to the Chiefs at nine, Akeem Mesidore at 40 and Kaitlin Allen in round three.
- Gregg RosenthalProspect vs Prospect Calls · David BaileyHit · 100Rosenthal expects Ruben Bain to be drafted in the top 10-12 and believes he won't get past the Cowboys at No. 12, expects David Bailey to be taken early (hard to see him out of the top six) and to go before Bain, and pegs Kiante Scott as a late-second to third-round pick.
- Fran DuffyProspect vs Prospect Calls · Sonny StylesHit · 100Duffy expects Sonny Styles to be picked inside the top 10, believes short-armed Ruben Bain will still go inside the top 15 (possibly top 10 or top 5), thinks Styles will come off the board before Caleb Downs, ranks Avion Terrell as his top cornerback, and has Stukes graded as a second-round pick against industry consensus.
- Andrew SicilianoProspect vs Prospect Calls · Sonny StylesHit · 100Siciliano calls Caleb Downs the safest pick in the draft but doubts he goes No. 2, and predicts Sonny Styles will dominate the combine and be drafted in the top seven, ahead of Downs.
- Tucker FranklinProspect vs Prospect Calls · David BaileyHit · 100Tucker predicted edge David Bailey comes off the board before Ruben Bain Jr., that Peter Woods won't last until the Chiefs' pick at 40 (i.e. goes in round one), and that the Chiefs will cut Mike Danna and Jawaan Taylor.