NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,989
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 366
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,989
takes graded
5,108 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB72 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB52 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jaxson DartQB45 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles374 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs353 takes
- Buffalo Bills303 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- New England Patriots292 takes
- Baltimore Ravens285 takes
- Miami Dolphins282 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders275 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons148 takes
- New Orleans Saints160 takes
- Arizona Cardinals163 takes
- Carolina Panthers166 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals171 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- New York Jets173 takes
- Minnesota Vikings181 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1701–1725 of 3,881
I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East, I've got Washington second, the Dallas Cowboys third, and the New York Giants fourth.
I've got only one team making the playoffs and that's the Green Bay Packers at ten and seven
I've got the Eagles winning it at twelve and five
I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division, followed by the Chicago Bears, the Detroit Lions, and the Minnesota Vikings.
the La Rams who qualify for a wildcard spot at ten and seven
In the West, I have Arizona winning the West... I believe Seattle will finish last
the Saints at three and fourteen
that bears even with the addition of Ben Johnson still struggle a bit at five and twelve
Washington they make it as a wildcard team
Washington they make it as a wildcard team, finishing second division at ten and seven
Carolina five and twelve
the wild card spots are the Commanders, the Buccaneers, and the Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers who go to Santa Clara to take on the Baltimore Ravens, and the winner is Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens
the winner is Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens who win the Super Bowl Super Bowl sixty
the wild card spots are the Commanders, the Buccaneers, and the Chicago Bears
the Eagles hosting the San Francisco forty nine Ers. I've got the Eagles being able to hold the home field advantage winning
My wild card teams out of the AFC are the Ravens, Steelers, and Chiefs
On the AFC side, it's Kansas City
and the Eagles take down the Washington Commandos
the Green Bay Packers, they take down the LA Rams
and the Bengals beating the New England Patriots the seventh seed to advance
I've got the Jacksonville bill Jaguars hosting the Baltimore Ravens
the Eagles hosting the Green Bay Packers... But it's the Packers led by Micah Parsons Jordan Love finding the way to the super Bowl
And then on the other side, I've got Kansas City beating the Baltimore Ravens.
the forty nine Ers take down the Atlanta Falcons