NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,989
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 366
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,989
takes graded
5,108 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB72 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB52 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jaxson DartQB45 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles374 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs353 takes
- Buffalo Bills303 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- New England Patriots292 takes
- Baltimore Ravens285 takes
- Miami Dolphins282 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders275 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons148 takes
- New Orleans Saints160 takes
- Arizona Cardinals163 takes
- Carolina Panthers166 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals171 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- New York Jets173 takes
- Minnesota Vikings181 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1876–1900 of 3,881
Let's say Saquan has a nice year and lands on fourteen fifteen. Hun
that guy is the head coach of the Chicago Bears, Ben Johnson, who will be my Coach of the Year
So again. One, two, three, four, Saquon, Jamar, Lamar, Josh.
For Coach of the Year, Ben Johnson of the Chicago Bears is a hot pick right now.
And the numbers four and a half, I've got to go over four and a half, and so I will go over four and a half
the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus three eighty... I'm gonna lay minus three eighty
So Ravens demonse over under eleven and a half juice slightly to the over... So because of that, I'm an over.
Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs... at five to one, I'm good with it.
We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs... I'm having them make the playoffs at plus one eighty.
he is fairly right now their third best option to be a starting quarterback
If in Week one Flacco goes out, you would have to be more comfortable putting Gabriel in.
You got the Bucks at minus one seventy to make the playoffs.
You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus three forty... I just like the value at plus three forty.
to me, the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire their head coach.
The Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs at least ten games, I should say.
the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third of the way into the season, they pull the plug on Flacco. They go to Dylan Gabriel.
I have moved him up to wide receiver twenty six.
I wouldn't be surprised if he leads the Books in catches this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he leads them in yards as well
I have Waddle ranked ahead of Tyreek Hill. I have Wattle at wide receiver twenty
So I moved him up. He is my wide receiver fifty two right now.
I have my wide receiver twenty five. I have him at fifty second overall.
I have George Pickens ranked as a top fifteen wide receiver.
he is going to be from the word go, and I'm not being hyperbolic about this, he is the Carolina Panthers wide receiver two
Will you have him at thirty six... that's why I bumped him up into the wide receiver three range.
I think we could see him revisit the role that he had in his rookie season and he catches a hundred passes