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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,780
Graded
3,881
Pundits
353
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,780

takes graded

4,899 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

2401–2425 of 3,881

  • Close · 70FantasyProsFantasy Rankings

    We have got your top seventy five overall ranks. We're gonna be going through it via the Fantasy pros ECR Expert Consensus Ranks... Jamar Chase is your leader at the tippy top... George Picken.

    a naive guess scored 50+40.66 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonDepth Chart Calls

    It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share

    Garrett WilsonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonPositional Finishes

    I think Drake London could be a top three, if not the number one overall receiver

    Drake LondonAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls

    So I'm not worried about Dowell supplanting Chuba Hubbard. I'm not too worried about fourth round draft pick Trevor Etn... supplanting Cuba.

    Chuba HubbardCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls

    I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts

    Aaron JonesMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 83Gregg RosenthalPositional Finishes

    Chase is a top two receiver in the league to me with Jefferson

    Ja'Marr ChaseCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 75+16.67 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalPositional Finishes

    despite Higgins's injuries, he is at that level. He's a top twenty five receiver in the league.

    Tee HigginsCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookPosition Group Rankings

    That's the best receiver group in my opinion. It's not the Bengals, it's the Buccaneers... Okay, let's go receiver again... come on down, Minnesota Vikings.

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalPosition Group Rankings

    Except I'm going Bengals wide receivers with my next pick... I actually had the Eagles wide receivers in my top five or six overall

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick ShookPosition Group Rankings

    But I love what the Ravens have in safety right now... But we're gonna go safeties because the top tier, you know, potential with these guys and who they have at safety in Houston

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Close · 75Gregg RosenthalPosition Group Rankings

    The Houston Texans cornerbacks are next on my list... I'm doing another cornerback room the Broncos... I don't think I'm being a homer putting the Patriots cornerbacks up here.

    a naive guess scored 75+0 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookDepth Chart Calls

    you know what you have in Jordan Adison, who I think is one of the best number two receivers in the NFL

    Jordan AddisonMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalDepth Chart Calls

    He's an OK three, he's not a plus three. He'll get you buy three

    Andrei IosivasCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalPositional Finishes

    aj Brown to me, is a top five receiver in the NFL. He would probably be number five if I'm doing it.

    A.J. BrownPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 41.67-83.33 skillsaid May 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 25Isaiah StanbackPosition Group Rankings

    So number five I'm rocking with Philadelphia... let's go Detroit... Didn't you go into Minnesota?... Miami is my number two... And then number one, I have Cincinnati.

    a naive guess scored 65-80 skillsaid May 8, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Brandon GrahamPosition Group Rankings

    You either got to roll with Scary Terry and Deebo and the Commanders or CD and Pickens and Cowboys... I'm gonna go with Jaden Daniels Scary two Debo

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid May 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Jamie ErdahlPosition Group Rankings

    I put Cincinnati at five... I am impressed with the fact that DeVante Adams is in La... I put Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison in this... I am going to put the Lions above the Minnesota Vikings... and I too, will put the Philadelphia Eagles as number one.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 60+40 skillsaid May 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 85Brandon GrahamPosition Group Rankings

    I got number five... we pay bucks... Evans Chris Godwin... I like T Higgins, I like Jamar Chase... Then number three Rams... number two Lions... Number one... My Eagles going back to the Super Bowl.

    a naive guess scored 80+10 skillsaid May 8, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Kyle BrandtPosition Group Rankings

    Godwin and of course my guy Evans, the goat that's number five... Number four Detroit... Number three Philly... Minnesota. Just Jefferson and Addison... And number one, I got Cincinnati.

    a naive guess scored 65-50 skillsaid May 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Brandon GrahamPlayoff Picks

    And they made it to the playoffs this year, and I think they'll do it again

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid May 8, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Isaiah StanbackPlayoff Picks

    yeah they're gonna be in the playoffs.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Kyle BrandtPlayoff Picks

    When the playoff picking time comes out in September, I will pick the Steelers.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid May 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Kyle BrandtSeason Win Totals

    They don't do filler seasons, they don't do six and eleven seasons. They will find a way to ten and seven or nine and eight.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid May 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jonas KnoxPlayoff Picks

    I mean, they're not going to win. The division, but they could be a playoff team.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid May 7, 2025the article →