Gregg Rosenthal· Aug 28, 2025
Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. He also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10.
“I'm taking the Lions over ten and a half as my first pick.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 4 season win totals, 1 playoff pick, 1 position group ranking and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
6 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 36.7 out of 100, against 68.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Roster Spot CallsMicah ParsonsDallas CowboysAug 28, 2025
Micah Parsons to make the roster
“Assuming Michaeh Parsons is going to be on the team. And I am assuming that... history tells us he will be on that team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DAL
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Micah Parsons
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksDallas CowboysAug 28, 2025
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
“I have them in the playoffs like the Cowboys, this year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsDallas CowboysAug 28, 2025
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 10 wins
“I'm gonna go Cowboys over seven and a half... I think they're gonna win ten games. I have them in the playoffs like the Cowboys, this year.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 85-90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- -90
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsDetroit LionsAug 28, 2025
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“I'm taking the Lions over ten and a half as my first pick.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsNew York JetsAug 28, 2025
New York Jets to finish with 7 wins
“So I like the Jets to go like seven and ten. I feel good about over five and a halfs.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 25-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 25
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsMinnesota VikingsAug 28, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
“let's go Vikings over eight and a half”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIN
- naive:
- 11.25
- skill:
- 90
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Position Group RankingsAug 28, 2025
“I love their defensive line. I mean, I think it could be the best edge group in the league.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Wildes made the Jets beating the Packers his upset alert pick, arguing Green Bay's road losing streak and Jordan Love's recent interceptions will catch up with them.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysClose · 76Prisco picks four road/home winners with exact scores: Falcons over Panthers, Bears over Vikings, Jaguars upsetting Broncos, Chargers over Raiders, and Cowboys over Commanders.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysClose · 76Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Green Bay PackersClose · 40Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 20Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers.
- John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals · San Francisco 49ersClose · 60Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Denver BroncosMiss · 20Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.
- Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.