Gregg Rosenthal · Aug 28, 2025
Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. He also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10.
“I'm taking the Lions over ten and a half as my first pick.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksDallas CowboysAug 28, 2025
“I have them in the playoffs like the Cowboys, this year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsDallas CowboysAug 28, 2025
“I'm gonna go Cowboys over seven and a half... I think they're gonna win ten games. I have them in the playoffs like the Cowboys, this year.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 85-90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- -90
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsDetroit LionsAug 28, 2025
“I'm taking the Lions over ten and a half as my first pick.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsNew York JetsAug 28, 2025
“So I like the Jets to go like seven and ten. I feel good about over five and a halfs.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 25-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 25
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsMinnesota VikingsAug 28, 2025
“let's go Vikings over eight and a half”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIN
- naive:
- 11.25
- skill:
- 90
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Position Group RankingsAug 28, 2025
“I love their defensive line. I mean, I think it could be the best edge group in the league.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Roster Spot CallsMicah ParsonsDallas CowboysAug 28, 2025
“Assuming Michaeh Parsons is going to be on the team. And I am assuming that... history tells us he will be on that team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.