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Kyle Brandt · Apr 22, 2025

Brandt says Tyler Warren will be drafted before Colston Loveland, but that Loveland is still a potential top-10-to-15 pick, and that Ashton Jeanty will be a top-ten pick; he also lists his five "Angry Runs" watch-list prospects most likely to earn a scepter as rookies.

He's not going to get drafted before Tyler Warren... but he's going to be a potential top ten to fifteen draft pick at tight end.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • But he's going to be a potential top ten to fifteen draft pick ats tight end with very little pub

    Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Colston Loveland
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    potential top ten to fifteen draft pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • I want to give you some more guys that maybe aren't going to be top ten picks, like gent Is.

    Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top ten picks (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Top Player ListsApr 22, 2025

    I have five guys who I don't think are necessarily the best running backs. They're the angriest, the five most likely to win a Scepter in their rookie season.

    Scored 25a naive guess scored 50-50 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    -50
    placed:
    3
    season:
    2025
    players:
    5
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    RB 3: 25
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • And he's not going to get drafted before Tyler Warren, and he shouldn't get drafted.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

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