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Peter Schrager· Apr 7, 2026

In his mock draft, Schrager has the Rams taking USC receiver Mekhi Lemmon at No. 13 overall in the 2026 draft, with Jordan Tyson the first receiver off the board to the Chiefs at ninth and Carnell Tate to the Dolphins two picks before the Rams.

“Lemon fits with a lot of what the Rams do on offense, and taking the 2025 Biletnikoff award winner would be a sign that the Rams are truly all in to win in 2026”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Rams (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 78.5 out of 100, against 40.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
11They said
4What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Carnell Tate to be picked at number 11

    “The Dolphins took Carnell Tate two picks before the Rams.”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75

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  • Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    “With the 13 pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft, the Los Angeles Rams select... Peter Schrager... he made a pick for the Rams in the first round... he's available at thirteen”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9

    “The Chiefs took Jordan Tyson at ninth overall.”

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Tyson to be 1st wide receiver off the board

    “So in this case, they had Jordan Tyson going first”

    Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 11.45+59.26 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 11.45
    skill:
    59.26
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    11.45
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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