Derek Brown · Jun 14, 2025

Brown is scared of the projections on Chase Brown (RB17), Tyreek Hill (WR14/15), Kyren Williams (RB1 range) and Xavier Worthy (WR20 in PPR), calling each likely to fall short of their draft price; he sits in line with the QB20 projection on Drake May but thinks the rushing touchdown total is light.

“if that's where he goes he's gonna be a big bust this coming year because people are expecting RB one production if they are rafting Chase Brown.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Positional FinishesJun 14, 2025
“I'm actually in line with these projections, Like right now, I've got Drake May as my QB twenty I think”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
22
actual finish:
2
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
20
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Fantasy Bust CallsJun 14, 2025
“If he goes back into that role and Mahomes is still one of the worst deep all passes in the NFL, he's not going to come close to paying all this projection, not even close”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Fantasy Bust CallsJun 14, 2025
“So I was in on Kiren last year, but I am out this year... people are drafting him as an RB one, he easily could be an RB two in this offense”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Fantasy Bust CallsJun 14, 2025
“So this projection and where we are where the consensus is on Tyrek Hill scares the Bejesus out of me because I can't see him paying all on this.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Fantasy Bust CallsJun 14, 2025
“if that's where he goes he's gonna be a big bust this coming year because people are expecting RB one production if they are rafting Chase Brown.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?