Mike Renner · Jan 6, 2026
Renner picked the same AFC bracket as JP except with the Texans reaching the Super Bowl as a fifth seed, had the Packers beating the Bears in the NFC, and leaned Rams over Seahawks in the NFC Championship and the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also gave a full post-season mock draft of picks 1-18.
“So because of all that, give me the Rams.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →
34 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
David Bailey to be picked at number 3
“At number three... I have David Bailey, the Texas Tech edge going to the Cardinals.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 74.29 against a shuffle’s 50+24.29 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesDallas CowboysJan 6, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
“Sonny Styles, the line back from Ohio State going to Dallas at 12.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 74.29 against a shuffle’s 50+24.29 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Top five picks. I have it going. Fernando Mendoza from Indiana to the Raiders”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Mock Draft PicksMatt MooreNew York JetsJan 6, 2026
Matt Moore to be picked at number 2
“and then Dante Moore of Oregon to the Jets. I don't see that changing as long as those guys declare.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Matt Moore
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with KC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 6, 2026
New England Patriots to win
“So that would be Pats over Chargers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Trevor Goosby to be picked at number 6
“It's get six through 10 where the Browns... Trevor Goosby, offense tackle Texas to me.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Trevor Goosby
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsJan 6, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
“Jags over Bills”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansJan 6, 2026
Houston Texans to win
“Texans over Steelers in the wild card round”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 30-6
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansJan 6, 2026
Houston Texans to win
“divisional round, Texans over Broncos”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 18-15
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7
“I have the commanders going carnal tape, the Ohio State wide receiver at number seven.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonNew York JetsJan 6, 2026
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16
“16 Jets, McKay Lemann, USC wide receiver. I love this fit for forever.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
Jermaine McCrory to be picked at number 18
“And I have Jermaine McCrory, the Tennessee corner going to Minnesota.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Jermaine McCrory
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Mock Draft PicksKeldric FaulkNew York GiantsJan 6, 2026
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 5
“and then Keltrick Falk, the Auburn edge slash d t, and I have him going there to be a DT more so to the New York Giants.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Keltrick Falk
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseTennessee TitansJan 6, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4
“Arbel Reese, the Ohio State linebacker slash edge going fourth to the titans”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“And then last number 10 here. Caleb Downs, Ohio State safety is the Cincinnati Bengals.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneDetroit LionsJan 6, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 17
“17, I have Mansoor Delaine, the LSU quarterback going to the Lions.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“Jeremiah Love going to the saints. No real explanation necessary there. It's Kellen Moore as your head coach.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonLos Angeles RamsJan 6, 2026
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 13
“Jordan Tyson, the Arizona statewide receiver going to the Rams at 13.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 15
“And then Spencer Fanon, the Utah offensive tackle going to the Bucks at 15”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqMiami DolphinsJan 6, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11
“I'd get to 11 through 15 here. I have the Miami Dolphins going Kenyan, Saddiq, the Oregon tight end.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 6, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“the winner of this game is the Super Bowl champion... So because of all that, give me the Rams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9
“Reuben Bain, the Miami defensive end going to the Kansas City Chiefs.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.36 against a shuffle’s 50+31.36 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 31.36
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 81.36
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersJan 6, 2026
Green Bay Packers to win
“I think the Packers beat the Bears... So I think the Packers win that one.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 6, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win
“and I think the Rams beat the Panthers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsLos Angeles RamsJan 6, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
“I lean the Rams. I think the offense at full strength is just too dangerous.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsHouston TexansJan 6, 2026
Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl
“Texans making it as a wild card fifth seed to the Super Bowl.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 14
“Francis Maui, Noah, Miami, offensive tackle going to the Ravens at 14.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Combine MeasurementsSonny StylesJan 6, 2026
Sonny Styles to post probably gonna run a four four at the combine
“I guess six five, two forty and probably gonna run a four four.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersJan 6, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to win
“I think the Eagles beat the 40”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Positional FinishesCarnell TateJan 6, 2026
Carnell Tate to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards
“you watch Carnel Tate's tape, you watch Jordan Tyson's tape, and you just know those are number one wide receivers in the NFL... but they are top 20.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Positional FinishesJordyn TysonJan 6, 2026
Jordyn Tyson to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards
“you watch Carnel Tate's tape, you watch Jordan Tyson's tape... They they might never be top 10, top five wide receivers in the NFL... but they are top 20.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsJan 6, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
“Jags over Pats”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 6, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win
“And then so it's seagulls, Rams. I have it being the NFC championship game... But if I had to pick, I lean with you, I lean the Rams.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansJan 6, 2026
Houston Texans to win
“and then Jags losing to the Texans. Texans making it as a wild card fifth seed to the Super Bowl.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.