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Mike Renner· Mar 2, 2026

Brenner named combine risers and gave draft ranges for several prospects, predicted a large first-round offensive-line class, and made picks 1, 3, 5 and every other selection in a post-combine first-round mock draft.

“So after numbers like that, I don't think he's fallen outside the top 10.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

30 checkable claims — 28 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 40 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

25 of 30 have settled so far, averaging 78.7 out of 100, against 48.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 50 pick (picks 1–50)They said
27What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

30 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Chris Johnson to be picked “top 50 pick” (picks 1–50)

    “Yes. That that's a top 50 pick, in my opinion after that.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.64 against a shuffle’s 50+34.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.64
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 50 pick (picks 1–50)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25

    “Alright. Chicago Bears... I can't pass on a key Mesudor at this point in time.”

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.64 against a shuffle’s 50+34.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.64
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked at number 7

    “Number seven, Washington Commanders, a easy one at this point. I think they go David Bailey.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.64 against a shuffle’s 50+34.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.64
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Peter Woods to be picked at number 13

    “Alright. 13 Rams... we're going Peter Woods here”

    Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.64 against a shuffle’s 50+34.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.64
    player:
    Peter Woods
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    50
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Blake Miller to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    “Caleb Lomu as well. Blake Miller... every guy that I just mentioned will be a first rounder”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.64 against a shuffle’s 50+34.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.64
    player:
    Blake Miller
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first rounder (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    “Giants, number five overall. I'm go here's where I'm going, Sonny Stiles.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 84.64 against a shuffle’s 50+34.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    34.64
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    84.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 27

    “Alright. 40 niners... So I'm going Max Ihahnachor here. The Arizona State office tackle.”

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Max Iheanachor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Omar Cooper to be picked at number 31

    “I'm going Omar Cooper Junior... I think he's a first round receiver all day long for the New England Patriots.”

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “So after numbers like that, I don't think he's fallen outside the top 10.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 23

    “I I just have him going to the Philadelphia Eagles here... we're gonna go with Kenny Sadiq.”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 21

    “Alright. Steelers, 21... We're going Jordan Tyson.”

    Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 19

    “Alright. Nineteen Panthers... I'm gonna go Caleb Loma”

    Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Caleb Lomu
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    28
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 29

    “This is a dream scenario, though, for the Los Angeles Rams in my opinion. Avion Terrell sitting”

    Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Avieon Terrell
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    43.91
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    48
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    43.91
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 15

    “Bucks at 15... Let's go Caden Proctor, and he's going to play guard there for... the Tampa Bay Bucs.”

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Yohana Chore to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    “Yohana Chore tested off the charts. Monroe Freeling tested off the charts. Basically, any first round tackle... every guy that I just mentioned will be a first rounder”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Yohana Chore
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    first rounder (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked at number 3

    “Alright. Number three... I'm going to Spencer Fano... That's who I'm taking if I'm the Cardinals.”

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carnell Tate to be picked at number 11

    “Now 11, Dolphins... So I'm gonna go with Cornell Tate. Oh. The Ohio State wide receiver.”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Eli Stowers to be 2nd tight end off the board

    “So Eli Sowers, I would bet at this point in time comes off the board as tight end too.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 18.72+81.28 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 22 at random averages 18.72
    skill:
    81.28
    player:
    Eli Stowers
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    18.72
    position:
    tight end
    class size:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Monroe Freeling to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    “Monroe Freeling tested off the charts... every guy that I just mentioned will be a first rounder when it's all said and done.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first rounder (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 17

    “He fell for the lions... Jermott McCoy, the Tennessee quarterback. A true shutdown man potential corner for the Detroit lions.”

    Miss · 3Scored 2.63 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Jermod McCoy
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    2.63
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    101
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    2.63
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    “I feel confident saying, basically, every guy that I just mentioned will be a first rounder when it's all said and done.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first rounder (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kadyn Proctor to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    “Now Caden Proctor wasn't quite the freak everyone thought, but he had a 32 and a half inch vertical at three fifty two... every guy that I just mentioned will be a first rounder”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first rounder (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Lomu to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    “Caleb Lomu as well. Blake Miller... every guy that I just mentioned will be a first rounder”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Caleb Lomu
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    28
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first rounder (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “Dylan Thieneman with those sorts of numbers is gonna be a first round pick now.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “Raiders, pick one. Fernando Mendoza, don't overthink it. It's happening.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.18 against a shuffle’s 50+33.18 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    33.18
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    83.18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mike Washington to be picked “day two pick”

    “I I think he goes for, like, easily a day two pick at this point. You got a guy with that sort of size speed.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Zachariah Branch to be picked “day two pick”

    “I think he's firmly now gonna be a day two pick and can be more than just a gadget guy”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “round two”

    “I I think he could end up sneaking into round two after a combine like that.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Monroe Freeling to be 1st left tackle off the board

    “And so because of that, I do expect him to be the first left tackle off the board”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 9

    “And so I think they're going Francis Maui Noah here... At number nine overall.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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