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Draft Bust Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
28
Graded
2

7% settled

Average accuracy
50.0

out of 100

Pundits
16

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1 scored 80+1 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2 / 28

graded

26 still pending

Who is good at draft bust calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every draft bust calls take

1–25 of 28

  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls

    Omarion Hampton to disappoint at the next level

    I don't love O'Marion Hampton. I don't think there's that much there... I see nothing special for a first-round back.

    Omarion HamptonLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingAlbert BreerDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I'm not fully sold that that's 100% a hit with the 13th pick, but, um, he's looked good in the preseason.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingKyle SoppeDraft Bust Calls

    Xavier Worthy to disappoint at the next level

    we can comfortably say that Xavier Worthy isn’t likely to return a profit on the Round 1 capital that was spent on him in 2024

    Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 12, 2026
  • PendingColin CowherdDraft Bust Calls

    Quentin Johnston to disappoint at the next level

    They are still holding on to hope that Quinton Johnston can validate his draft selection. I don't think he's going to validate his draft selection.

    Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingEric CrockerDraft Bust Calls

    De'Zhaun Stribling to disappoint at the next level

    Traits work ethic raw, but it's gonna work because of his mindset. We lit three first round picks on fire. Mhmm. And I believe we just lit pick 33 on fire.

    De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 29, 2026the article →
  • PendingChris BrockmanDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    They're gonna wish they had taken Ruben Bane or Mekhi Lehman last week. Like, come on, man. This wasted pick on Ty Simms.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    But when you use the thirteenth overall pick on a quarterback, the pressure on that guy is to be a top ten quarterback... And that is the issue with the Rams is they paid a premium for a guy, by all accounts, is not a premium. His best case scenario is to be like the tenth to fifteenth quarterback in the NFL that's best case scenario.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 27, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian & GeoffDraft Bust Calls

    Keldric Faulk to disappoint at the next level

    Keldrick Faulk is just I would not draft him in the first round... He's big, huge, big defensive end. Doesn't it doesn't run, it doesn't rush the quarterback very well.

    Keldric FaulkTennessee Titans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026
  • PendingBrian & GeoffDraft Bust Calls

    Jeremiyah Love to disappoint at the next level

    So you're not paying a running back over fifty million dollars a year guaranteed who probably can't help your team win that much in year one. I just don't like him, man, I just didn't like it. I thought there are better players on the board... so far, Arizona has my only F

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026
  • PendingChad Ochocinco JohnsonDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I like tdd Simpson. I like what he did. You know at Alabama? It was cool. But he's not the one. Excuse me, let me take this back. He's not one that's going to be the successor to goddamn Matt Stafford.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingKenjon BarnerDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I think Ty is a good quarterback. But I don't believe that he was a first round quarterback... I think that was the most, eyebrow raising pick of the first round.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026
  • PendingJim DanielsDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    That's what you wanted out of all of that talent? Somebody you could easily had at the end of the second round, maybe the third round?... that's a terrible pick.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingRichard ShermanDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I'm shocked that Tyz Simpson was drafted in the first round... I don't see how this helps them this year. I don't really see how it helps them next year... he's I think the fourth quarterback with less than sixteen starts to be drafted in the first round, and none of them are doing really well in the National Football League.

    Ty Simpson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingGregg RosenthalDraft Bust Calls

    David Bailey to disappoint at the next level

    I think he's a boomer bus player... I think rvel Reese what actually had a higher floor and a higher I think that was a mistake to take him there.

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat GustavsonDraft Bust Calls

    Jordyn Tyson to disappoint at the next level

    I'll go I'll go Jordan Tyson.

    Jordyn Tyson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat GustavsonDraft Bust Calls

    K.C. Concepcion to disappoint at the next level

    I'll go Casey Concepcion. Why not?

    K.C. Concepcion

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrandon CarneyDraft Bust Calls

    Kenyon Sadiq to disappoint at the next level

    I'll go Kenyan Saddiq. I'll say Saddiq. He's the one that kinda concerns me the most.

    Kenyon Sadiq

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat GustavsonDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    Tye Simpson, because he's gonna get picked in the first round and then I I think also the wide receivers

    Ty Simpson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownDraft Bust Calls

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I think if we're talking about bus players, get you know, Ty Simpson all day, I think that's that's the clear bust to me.

    Ty Simpson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingOllie ConnollyDraft Bust Calls

    Caleb Banks to disappoint at the next level

    so he's the one who's probably gonna break, your heart whether GM's like i just feel it in. My bones if we can get him in, the building ... and in three years you're wondering why you drafted the Guy

    Caleb Banks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls

    Caleb Williams to disappoint at the next level

    if I was a betting man right now, I would say this is not gonna work. I don't think Caleb is good... you would put money on Caleb Williams not working out... worst case scenario, Kayleb Williams is a bust, which is a tough word to say when you draft a guy number one overall

    Caleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 100-194 skillsaid Sep 10, 2025the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdDraft Bust Calls

    Mazi Smith to disappoint at the next level

    Mozzie Smith was a I wrote this down inactive, so he's a bust.

    Mazi SmithDallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 6, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls

    Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level

    And let's face it, the Anthey Richardson. He is the new version of Trey Lance. They swung for the fences that they whiffed.

    Anthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025the article →
  • PendingGregg RosenthalDraft Bust Calls

    Will Campbell to disappoint at the next level

    they took Will Campbell fourth overall... does he project more like I don't know who am I think of Eric Fisher like just like an okay guy who's gonna maybe be the twelfth best tackle in the league. I want something better than that.

    Will CampbellNew England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2025the article →
  • PendingOllie ConnollyDraft Bust Calls

    James Pearce Jr. to disappoint at the next level

    He is the one that I would not want in my building... I like passwords who know what they're doing when they rush the passer, and not just kind of upfield athletes who tests really well but don't quite know how to play football

    James Pearce Jr.Tennessee Titans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 14, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — draft bust calls (2 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.