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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,250
Graded
179

14% settled

Average accuracy
53.1

out of 100

Pundits
79

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
95 scored 80+84 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

179 / 1,250

graded

1,071 still pending

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

1101–1125 of 1,250

  • Miss · 0Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls

    Cedric Tillman to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty seven in ECR)

    But this is another one that I like, I really strongly agree with you, Jake on cedracle

    Cedric TillmanCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    George Pickens to outplay his draft cost (he's being drafted as a wide receiver three)

    George Pickens, baby breakout season here... for a player that I'm comfortably ranking him aggressively as a wide receiver two and he's being drafted as a wide receiver three

    George PickensDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (going is the tight end eleven)

    it's Tucker Craft. I mean, going is the tight end eleven... he's gonna have a massive breakout season

    Tucker KraftGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jake CielySleeper Calls

    Bryce Young to outplay his draft cost (he's outside the top twenty)

    My number five. I'll go to quarterback first. I'm gonna go to Bryce Young... we might be looking at Bryce Young by the end of the year as a fringe QB one and he's outside the top twenty

    Bryce YoungCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jake CielySleeper Calls

    Cedric Tillman to outplay his draft cost (going super late in draft)

    I'm gonna go to Cedric Tillman... for somebody that's going super late in draft, that can be the number two

    Cedric TillmanCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jake CielySleeper Calls

    Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two in ADP)

    he took Ricky pearsoll just I mean, I just knew it... to be fair, like I actually had him as my number one... I cannot agree more on Ricky Piersel.

    Ricky PearsallSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP)

    Ricky Piersoll, Like he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP... I want to stay above consensus because I think the breakout is real and it's coming... this guy is heading for a huge season

    Ricky PearsallSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three)

    I've got him as a wide receiver two, he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three. And it's Tedo McMillan.

    Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range)

    Jaquori Crosskey Merritt... He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range... I have him at RB thirty two... he's in that fringe RB two RB three conversation

    Jacory Croskey-MerrittWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (It's about the five oh five is where he's going)

    I don't care, frankly, that he is now going inside the fifth round... I just think he's really good. It's a great fit, and I think you're gonna be really happy with that pick.

    Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jake CielySleeper Calls

    Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (those mid rounds)

    So I think there's a lot of appeal for Braylon Allen those mid rounds.

    Braelon AllenNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Tom StrachanSleeper Calls

    Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (round five)

    Xavier Worvy. I just think that it's all setting up to be another good season for Xavier Worvy... I'd be comfortable pushing him even a couple of picks higher

    Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Omarion Hampton to outplay his draft cost (round three)

    So I went with Omaron Hampton running back for the Los Angeles Chargers because I just want to make a bet on a first round rookie running back

    Omarion HamptonLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Tom StrachanSleeper Calls

    Jaylen Warren to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine in real time ADP)

    My guy is Jalen Warren. I'll be twenty nine in real time ADP... it's very easy to buy into what Jalen Warren brings.

    Jaylen WarrenPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (round seven)

    why I like buying into Pearsaw here in round seven... I think Rickey Piersaw is just one of the easiest clicks that you can make

    Ricky PearsallSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Tom StrachanSleeper Calls

    Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)

    Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson

    Colston Loveland

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)

    round twelve is Bishal toot And running back for the Jaguars

    Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost (round fifteen)

    round fifteen my bet on a fifth year wide receiver breakout... Josh Palmer wide receiver for the Buffalo Bills

    Josh PalmerBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Nico Collins to outplay his draft cost (pick want six through twelve)

    I went for a player that goes outside the top five that out with a pick want six through twelve. You can get this guy... Nico Collins wide receiver.

    Nico CollinsHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Tom StrachanSleeper Calls

    Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (round two)

    Round two is so stacked this year... but brock Bauers... I thought brock Powers was going to be firmly part of round one

    Brock BowersLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Tom StrachanSleeper Calls

    Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)

    Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson

    Wan'Dale Robinson

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (round nine)

    My favorite late round time end, Tucker Craft. I think that he could be a top five Titan when we're drafting next year.

    Tucker KraftGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (round four)

    it's Kenneth Walker as my pick in round four. I just think the upside case for him in this Clint Kuback offense is a top five fantasy running back

    Kenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Tom StrachanSleeper Calls

    Cam Ward to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)

    Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Tom StrachanSleeper Calls

    Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)

    Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson

    Tyler Allgeier

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.