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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,250
Graded
179

14% settled

Average accuracy
53.1

out of 100

Pundits
79

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
95 scored 80+84 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

179 / 1,250

graded

1,071 still pending

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

1076–1100 of 1,250

  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the seventh player overall)

    he is a reluctant draft and the injury risk is absolutely terrifying

    Christian McCaffrey

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • PendingJoe PisapiaSleeper Calls

    Joe Mixon to outplay his draft cost (post one hundred)

    the boys are passing, I'm gonna draft them late. It's got to be post one hundred kind of where Pat's talking about, maybe even more.

    Joe MixonHouston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (a round fifty one)

    So I am a draft on RJ. Harvey... I think the ceiling continues to jump up and up

    RJ HarveyDenver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (the ninth round)

    So I just got Rashid Rice in the ninth round of a homely draft last weekend. I think that's pretty decent

    Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Chris Rodriguez Jr. to outplay his draft cost (an end of the draft dart throw)

    And then Chris Rodriguez is like an end of the draft dart throw that I'm happy to take if I don't already have Eckler.

    Chris Rodriguez Jr.Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Travis Hunter to outplay his draft cost (outside the top thirty)

    So for a wide receiver of that talent to be going outside the top thirty... I think Travis Hunter is still a smash draft.

    Travis HunterJacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (tight end eleven)

    if you miss on the top three, you should be targeting Craft or Tyler Warren on the back end of the tight end. So that is a draft.

    Tyler WarrenIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe PisapiaSleeper Calls

    Tyreek Hill to outplay his draft cost (almost as the fortieth player)

    See, I'm gonna draft him pat and the reason is because he's going almost as the fortieth player.

    Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (the fifties second player overall RB twenty two)

    He is worth drafting.

    RJ HarveyDenver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)

    Couldn't agree more with you, guys. I have him wide receiver sixteen here... like this one is easy.

    Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe PisapiaSleeper Calls

    RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (the fifties second player overall RB twenty two)

    Well, I don't have to break the tie, but just so you know, I'm drafting him as well. So three for three, that's a clean sweep on RJ. Harvey.

    RJ HarveyDenver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe PisapiaSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (seventeen overall)

    Pooka and Akouba by the way, sliding all the way to seventeen overall, that's where I'm I'm looking for that discount today in a draft. So I'm going to draft

    Tetairoa McMillanLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty four)

    the first wide receiver O Lave checks in at like wide receiver thirty four... this is really built around a Lave being too much of a value. So I'm gonna say, draft.

    Tetairoa McMillanNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Travis Kelce to outplay his draft cost (the sixty seventh player, the sixth tight end)

    I'll put a ring on it... you have Rice out. He's gonna be a red zone option. He got all the targets in the world. So I will put a ring on it

    Travis KelceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe PisapiaSleeper Calls

    Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (tight end eleven)

    Despite Daniel Jones being there, I to him drafting Tyler Warren... I do like the adp of Tyler Warren

    Tyler WarrenIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Austin Ekeler to outplay his draft cost (in the mid to late thirties at running back)

    whereas Eckler, I think is probably going to lead this backfield in snaps and maybe touches too, and like is really easily draftable, like in the mid to late thirties at running back

    Austin EkelerWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the seventh player overall)

    So I'm going to take some risk here when the running backs fall off. And I'm going to say Christian McCaffrey... is a draft

    Christian McCaffrey

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (QB thirteen)

    Draft. Drake May is my QB eight.

    Drake MayeNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe PisapiaSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)

    So I'm comfortable drafting him as the ADP continues to rise all the way up until twenty, maybe even up until fifteen... I think he's this year's Brian Thomas junior

    Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Breece Hall to outplay his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)

    I am a draft of Breece Hall. I actually don't hate the ADP... I actually think in the fourth round, especially full PPR, it's a big check

    Breece HallNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (tight end eleven)

    Yeah, It's like George Kittle and Jeremy Shockey had a baby and it was Tyler Warren. So yes, it's a lot of havoc after the catch.

    Tyler WarrenIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)

    We are drafting. Give me tetroh A McMillan one hundred percent... I think he could live up to what we wanted Marvin to be last year

    Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (QB sixteen on a ADP)

    his value is too good. He's QB sixteen on a ADP... I think he got a draft him because that value

    Drake MayeNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jake CielySleeper Calls

    Romeo Doubs to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty four)

    This feels like the most lay up of mine. I'm gonna go with Roman Duns... how are you not excited for the number two, who, by the way, has a world where he might be the most valuable Bears wide receiver

    Romeo DoubsChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jake CielySleeper Calls

    Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty eight in ECR)

    It's Marvin Mims... now we're talking about Marvin Mims clearly is the number two and potentially having one hundred plus targets

    Marvin Mims Jr.Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.