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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,250
Graded
179

14% settled

Average accuracy
53.1

out of 100

Pundits
79

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
95 scored 80+84 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

179 / 1,250

graded

1,071 still pending

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

1226–1250 of 1,250

  • Hit · 100Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls

    Bijan Robinson to outplay his draft cost (third or fourth pick)

    I think Bjeon is going to win leagues this year, especially if you're getting him like third or fourth pick in your drafts

    Bijan RobinsonAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)

    So I think Braylen Allen's kind of interesting and just another guy I mentioned

    Braelon AllenNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine)

    Somebody explained to me why Caleb Johnson is not in this tier... he shouldn't be in this tier. He is the clear guy

    Kaleb JohnsonPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls

    Justice Hill to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty six)

    Justin Hill is going he is going to outperform MARB sixty six if he's healthy. I guarantee you

    Justice HillBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)

    if he looks like the guy from weeks one through eight, Yeah, this is this year's JK. Dobbins... I just bumped him up to RB thirty two

    Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)

    the guy that he's not inside the top fifty, the Green Bay Packers didn't do anything to add to their backfield. Marshaun Lloyd

    MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls

    Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)

    I wonder if Javonte Williams is a screaming value at RB thirty seven, even if it feels gross to draft him... I will be ranking him ahead of RB thirty seven. I guarantee it

    Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty four)

    outside of r J. Harvey, Trevion is gonna be definitely one of my big targets this year

    TreVeyon HendersonNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    Jarquez Hunter to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)

    Jarqust Hunter, I'm going to bring up yet again because he is going to play a role in this backfield

    Jarquez HunterLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 31, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (fifth round)

    My Lock. In every single fifth round, Richard Smith is my RB fifty

    Brashard SmithKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty three)

    I've got RJ. Harvey is locked in top fifteen back this year

    RJ HarveyDenver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)

    maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts

    Aaron JonesMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)

    I don't need to wait until the back end of the first round of Draft ash and jenty just because he hasn't compiled any sort of NFL resume yet.

    Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)

    So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.

    CeeDee LambDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)

    to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day

    Chase BrownCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)

    I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason

    Jordan MasonMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the second round)

    I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two

    Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)

    because I would be perfectly comfortable taking him early in the fourth and he's going more towards the late fourth

    Chuba HubbardCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)

    And I do think brock Bauer should go at the turn in twelve team drafts.

    Brock BowersLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)

    I'm ahead of ECR on him for sure, And like I might even be able to move Garrett Wilson a little higher

    Garrett WilsonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)

    I think London is absolutely worthy of being drafted close to the turn... I'm higher on him than ECR

    Drake LondonAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)

    So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent

    Garrett WilsonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)

    I do still think Evans is a pretty low risk, high yield investment... So I'm going to keep drafting Mike Evans.

    Mike EvansTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifty four)

    So I just think that Worthy's kind of just being undervalued a little bit.

    Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)

    So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.

    Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 17, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.