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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,250
Graded
179

14% settled

Average accuracy
53.1

out of 100

Pundits
79

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
95 scored 80+84 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

179 / 1,250

graded

1,071 still pending

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

1201–1225 of 1,250

  • Miss · 0Joe DolanSleeper Calls

    Jordan Addison to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five by expert consensus ranking)

    Jordan Addison is way underpriced to me... He's wide receiver thirty five by expert consensus ranking... The thirty fifth in the ranking for a guy who's been the twentieth wide receiver over the last two years.

    Jordan AddisonMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Tee Higgins to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirteen, twenty nine overall)

    He's currently what wide receiver thirteen... but now I've got him ranked as a low end wide receiver one. He's my wide receiver twelve, number twenty four overall... here's why t Higgins has such vast upside and why I think you should proactively draft him.

    Tee HigginsCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (their current prices)

    there is room for London, Pits and Mooney to all return a profit, I think at their current prices... So yes, I love this call.

    Darnell MooneyAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe DolanSleeper Calls

    Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (drafted around tight end twenty one)

    But I like Likely at his price way more than I like Mark Andrews, and I could see him taking a step forward into being a sixty catch tight end.

    Isaiah LikelyBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe DolanSleeper Calls

    Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (ECR wide receiver forty nine)

    But I just think Darnell Mooney's too cheap and because of that cost, I have been drafting him a lot.

    Darnell MooneyAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (QB sixteen)

    you think there's massive upside at QB sixteen with Drake May... I have him at QB eight, and that is really aggressive.

    Drake MayeNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (the ninth round of drafts)

    If we get ninety percent of that sort of production, and we can get it in the ninth round of drafts, like sign me up

    Stefon DiggsNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe DolanSleeper Calls

    Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (drafted in like the fifth sixth round)

    So I see a potential bell Cow profile getting drafted in like the fifth sixth round... I love Kenneth Walker this year.

    Kenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (his mid fourth round cost)

    So what is it that has to go right for Kenneth Walker to return? A nice profit on his mid fourth round cost.

    Kenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver ECR fifty three)

    If Luthor Burton is the Bears primary slot man and things start to click for Caleb Williams, like Burton could dramatically OutKick his ADP

    Luther Burden IIIChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris WelshSleeper Calls

    Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (going as like a wide receiver five)

    it seems like a foregone conclusion that Darnell Mooney is going to have like that sneaky wide receiver three upside here and he's going as like a wide receiver five

    Darnell MooneyAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe DolanSleeper Calls

    Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (ECR Wide Receiver nineteen)

    You're already getting a discount in ADP, You're getting a discount and expert consensus ranking. I think he's got an opportunity to finishes a real wide receiver one with Patrick Mahomes this year

    Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe DolanSleeper Calls

    De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (expert Consensus RB six he's going in the second round)

    he is the expert Consensus RB six he's going in the second round. But with John new Smith gone, I think there's massive upside for a Chan in the passing game.

    De'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Scott BogmanSleeper Calls

    Keon Coleman to outplay his draft cost (He's going so late in drafts)

    my pick here is Keon Coleman... He's going so late in drafts. I will be taking him everywhere.

    Keon ColemanBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jun 29, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (He's ranked as an RB three on Fantasy pross are right now)

    I love Caleb Johnson. He's ranked as an RB three on Fantasy pross are right now, he should be a top twenty four running back.

    Kaleb JohnsonPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jun 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (the forty six wide receiver)

    So it's Ricky Piersow baby, final two weeks of the regular season, who's wide receiver? Seven wide receiver fourteen fully believed? ... So I want to draft him everywhere.

    Ricky Pearsall

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Scott BogmanSleeper Calls

    Caleb Williams to outplay his draft cost (He's currently at thirteen)

    There's just so much meat on the bone here for kid Williams to grow. He's currently at thirteen. I think he's a great like first QB to take or your highest QB two.

    Caleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 29, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Scott BogmanSleeper Calls

    Quinshon Judkins to outplay his draft cost (His ECR is currently I believe running back twenty eight)

    But let's not forget about Judkins... His ECR is currently I believe running back twenty eight. I only have him one spot higher at twenty seven.

    Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jun 29, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jake CielySleeper Calls

    Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (a light late round flier)

    that's why bring up Brishard Smith as a light late round flier and a lot of these shows

    Brashard SmithKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jun 22, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (right around that one two turn)

    If McCaffrey is healthy, he is going to smash... Yeah, I mean I love to wait till the second but he's right around that one two turn for me.

    Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 22, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Isiah Pacheco to outplay his draft cost (you can get him in the seventh or eighth)

    This is a guy who was being drafted in the mid to late second round last year and now you can get him in the seventh or eighth... he's a small boom for me.

    Isiah PachecoKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jun 22, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls

    Bucky Irving to outplay his draft cost (more of a third or fourth rounder)

    I thought he was a pretty solid option in the latter part of the second round of twenty twenty five drafts. I know a lot of people think he's more of a third or fourth rounder, and the projection seem to agree

    Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jun 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls

    Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)

    if we're trying to figure out who could be this year's JK. Dobbins, I think Javonte Williams checks off a lot of boxes... consider me in at RB thirty seven

    Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls

    Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (outside the top forty running backs)

    I like Jordan Mason a lot. If he's going out to the top forty running backs

    Jordan MasonMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Derek BrownSleeper Calls

    Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (RB ninety one)

    I think Rishard Smith is gonna make noise in this backfield as the new Jerrick McKinnon... He should be inside the top fifty like he is in my ranks

    Brashard SmithKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid May 31, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.