NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,562
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 344
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,562
takes graded
4,681 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles304 takes
- Los Angeles Rams300 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders254 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals154 takes
- Carolina Panthers155 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2976–3000 of 3,881
Someone's going to take a chance on him at some point, probably in the first round, maybe even earlier than people think because of the position.
I think Jets over five and a half? That would be like, what are you thinking? For me? I think that get better than that.
So the Chiefs always always disrespected at eleven and a half. I if you you bet the over for them every year, you'd be a rich man.
I really think he could go to the Jets at seven because they really need to know his bookends
I am with the Jacksonville Jaguars over seven and a half.
So yeah, I'm not the Chiefs stats an over... Chiefs over eleven and a half
This is a tentative over for Baltimore... but I lean over for Baltimore.
I could absolutely see Aaron Glenn getting there, that team finding its way to seven wins. I like the Jets over.
I love the over for the Las Vegas Raiders... I like the Raiders over six and a half.
They are going to be able to draft an impact player at number six. Pete, I think maybe Ashton Genty.
let's go to the Chargers today. Barron's still there... I probably would lean Baron... He's a good value at twenty two
But I think Tech McMillan's a bigger need... So let's go with him to the Cowboys
So that's why I'm going to go with Mason Graham. Okay, defensive tackle. (Jaguars at No. 5)
I'm gonna go Walter Nolan here because I do think they're looking defensive line in general and put him with the Bills
I'm gonna go savone ravel Wow, okay, yes, Corner East Carolina (Steelers at 21)
number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback
I like Jalen Walker fourth for the Patriots
I am having Mike Green go to the Falcons
I'm gonna go Coulson Love one woow, Michigan... So I'm gonna go call some level in here and the Jets
I think he's an eighteen to thirty type player, you know, or just say back half of this first round
I have the Seahawks at number eighteen... I think this is the spot for Gray's Abel, the North Dakota State offensive lineman
if I'm on the clock and I'm the one building the team, I actually would take Will Campbell here (Raiders at six)
So I'm gonna go ramshitter Sanders (Rams, pick 26)
Malachi Stark's safety from Georgia, who's kind of dropped a little bit, but I think this is the start of his range (Dolphins)
I'm gonna go with Schamar Stewart from Texas A and m Okay (Buccaneers)