NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,539
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 343
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,539
takes graded
4,658 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Los Angeles Rams300 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles296 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- New England Patriots274 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders253 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals154 takes
- Carolina Panthers155 takes
- Indianapolis Colts168 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
3401–3425 of 3,881
he'll likely be the reason why the Giants are picking inside the top 10 again next year
If he can stay healthy for 15 or more games, the Jets will be in the playoffs.
the offense for the Rams is good enough to get them back to the postseason in 2024
Gardner Minshew is the starter in Las Vegas, but don't expect the leash to be very long.
Derek Carr is the starter in New Orleans
That is until Maye eventually takes over.
Bo Nix is the Denver Broncos' Week 1 starter
Justin Jefferson ... 114.1 1,665.2
Travis Kelce ... 96.3 1,079.0
Jalen Hurts PHI QB ... 4,069.2
Ja'Marr Chase CIN WR ... 170.2 112.3 1,404.1 11.2
C.J. Stroud ... 30.4 9.1
Jalen Hurts ... 149.6 673.3 11.2
Sam LaPorta ... 999.1 9.4
Breece Hall NYJ RB ... 258.4 1,188.5 9.0
Justin Jefferson MIN WR ... 184.0 114.1 1,665.2 8.6
Jalen Hurts ... 673.3 11.2
Sam LaPorta DET TE ... 132.7 94.3 999.1 9.4
Anthony Richardson ... 3,350.4
Mark Andrews BAL TE ... 123.1 84.9 1,036.1 8.5
Christian McCaffrey SF RB 306.2 ... Breece Hall NYJ RB 267.0 ... David Montgomery DET RB 171.1
Tyreek Hill ... 119.8 1,701.0
Josh Allen BUF QB ... 28.2
Josh Allen ... 537.6 10.2
Josh Allen BUF QB 374.2 ... Jalen Hurts PHI QB 370.5 ... Patrick Mahomes KC QB 334.0 ... Aaron Rodgers NYJ QB 287.5