NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,519
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 343
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,519
takes graded
4,638 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Los Angeles Rams299 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles296 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- New England Patriots274 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders253 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals152 takes
- Carolina Panthers154 takes
- Indianapolis Colts168 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
3526–3550 of 3,881
Adoani Mitchell projects as a No. 3 receiver who will do most of his work on the outside.
Keon Coleman projects to be a reliable No. 2 receiver and will perform best for a team that utilizes him as a possession receiver
Though he is expected to be drafted on Day 3, the Texas Tech defensive back is one of the best overall athletes in the draft.
3. Washington WR Rome Odunze takes over as WR2
Jaylen Wright is going to be the fastest RB at the combine and earn day 2 draft capital.
1. Texas iDL Byron Murphy II emerges as top-15 pick
2. Toledo's Quinyon Mitchell Emerges as CB2 ... Mitchell is in a race to be the second cornerback drafted
four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud
Another player who was viewed as very likely to end up as top-10 choice was Northwestern offensive tackle Peter Skoronski.
four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Texas Tech defensive end Tyree Wilson
four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Alabama quarterback Bryce Young
there were four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. They were: Alabama edge rusher Will Anderson
Here are the top nine running backs scheduled to hit free agency in March. Top 9 2024 NFL Free Agent Running Backs 1. Saquan Barkley... 9. AJ Dillon, Green Bay Packers
Look for teams with young quarterbacks on rookie deals to bring in Taylor as a backup.
it's more likely he returns to San Francisco to be the backup again
Expect him to be a backup again in 2024, but to be in a situation where he might have a better chance of getting on the field again.
But don't expect Huntley to get anything more than a backup job in free agency.
Here are the top nine quarterbacks that are expected to test free agency in March: Ranking Top Free Agent QBs 1. Kirk Cousins ... 9. Tyrod Taylor
The most likely outcome is Winston will remain the backup quarterback in New Orleans on a new deal
Today, we will rank the top five wide receivers who could hit free agency this offseason. Top 5 Free-Agent WRs: 5. Noah Brown ... 4. Calvin Ridley ... 3. Mike Evans ... 2. Tee Higgins ... 1. Michael Pittman Jr.
He is one of the best No. 2 receivers in football.
Chase is close to surpassing Jefferson and will eventually be the best wide receiver in the NFL.
This article attempts to account for all those factors when ranking the league's top 24 wide receivers. NFL's Top 24 Wide Receivers
DeVonta Smith is the second-best receiver on his team but could be a No. 1 option elsewhere.
A similar outing from both units could lead to a 2-0 start with a home game vs. Chicago on deck.