NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1276–1300 of 3,881
It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.
I still think he's the second best quarterback in football.
Every year I bet Patrick to win MVP... I think Baker or Patrick to be able to get either one of them to win MVP at only minus one point fifty is a pretty solid bet.
I have Baker in the preseason at thirty five to one on hard Rock... I think Baker or Patrick to be able to get either one of them to win MVP at only minus one point fifty is a pretty solid bet.
It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.
It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.
It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.
It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.
I just think Buffalo is still going to win eleven games at least.
I picked New England make the playoffs.
I still don't trust the Houston offense despite what they did to Baltimore... but I'll swallow it and lay the full three... Sam Darnold and the Seahawks minus three
Yeah, I I think the Rams are going to win. However, Jacksonville being so familiar playing in London...
I think Atlanta absolutely can and will win this game outright on Sunday Night football... I love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team is favored.
The Giants are feeling good. The Giants can win this game outright... The Giants plus seven in a game they could win outright.
I'm telling he's my most rushing touchdown, most rushing. / Oh yeah, you're before the year.
I like Indi in this spot... I think they're the better team... But I do think Indy is the right side of it. / and then Indy I said, I thought could win outright
Number five, I got the Chiefs... number four. I like the Seahawks... Now number three, I still got the Lions... Now number two, I got Tampa... So I got the Indianapolis culture.
And they're going to get the first pick of the draft and there's not even a marque quarterback today.
I'm going to take green Bay to win close. Seven points is too many. Twenty eight to twenty four.
I bet the Seahawks in this favor by three.
I think the guy has been phenomenal I think he's in a hunt for MVP.
I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.
I'm gonna take Denver to win twenty eight to twenty. Cover the spread.
Bucks Lions win it. Lions cover twenty eight to twenty one.
I would vote him today... he would be MVP and then Mahomes would be runner up.