Marcus Mosher· May 27, 2024
Mosher names three tight ends as 2024 breakout candidates: Luke Musgrave (whom he expects to be Green Bay's starting tight end), Jelani Woods (predicting 700-plus receiving yards and double-digit touchdowns), and Cade Otton.
“Don't be shocked when he records 700-plus yards and scores double-digit touchdowns this season.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived May 28, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
3 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
1They said
2What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsLuke MusgraveGreen Bay PackersMay 27, 2024
Luke Musgrave to be 1st on the depth chart
“The good news is that he is fully recovered and should be the starting tight end in 2024.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Luke Musgrave
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- TE
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Jelani Woods to record 10 receiving tds
“Don't be shocked when he records 700-plus yards and scores double-digit touchdowns this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jelani Woods to record 700 receiving yards
“Don't be shocked when he records 700-plus yards and scores double-digit touchdowns this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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