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Cody Kessler · Mar 3, 2025

Kessler ranks the quarterback class with Cam Ward first, Shedeur Sanders second and Jackson Dart third, thinks Quinn Ewers is a second-round pick rather than a first, sees Dart possibly falling to Day 2, and offers pro comparisons for several passers.

I'm solid with cam Ward being number one. Chador for me is still too, but I think that gap between two and Jackson Dart at three got a little bit closer this week.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • I'm solid with cam Ward being number one.

    Scored 100a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
    skill:
    75.8
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    24.2
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • that gap between two and Jackson Dart at three got a little bit closer this week

    Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 29.17+41.54 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 29.17
    skill:
    41.54
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    29.17
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chador for me is still too

    Scored 25a naive guess scored 37.51-12.51 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 37.51
    skill:
    -12.51
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    37.51
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    6
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • I don't think he's going to be a first round pick... But if he gets to the second round

    Scored 0.07a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Quinn Ewers
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.07
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    231
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.07
    predicted pick:
    second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Coucord for me, reminded me of Kirk Cousins, a little bit of a mid to later round guy could potentially become a starter.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

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