Cody Kessler· Mar 3, 2025
Kessler ranks the quarterback class with Cam Ward first, Shedeur Sanders second and Jackson Dart third, thinks Quinn Ewers is a second-round pick rather than a first, sees Dart possibly falling to Day 2, and offers pro comparisons for several passers.
“I'm solid with cam Ward being number one. Chador for me is still too, but I think that gap between two and Jackson Dart at three got a little bit closer this week.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 3 position order calls and 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 48.9 out of 100, against 35.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish1They said
1What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsCam WardMar 3, 2025
Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board
“I'm solid with cam Ward being number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
- skill:
- 75.8
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 24.2
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Order CallsJaxson DartMar 3, 2025
Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board
“that gap between two and Jackson Dart at three got a little bit closer this week”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 29.17+41.54 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 14 at random averages 29.17
- skill:
- 41.54
- player:
- Jaxson Dart
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 29.17
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 2
- predicted order:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Order CallsShedeur SandersMar 3, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“Chador for me is still too”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 37.51-12.51 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 14 at random averages 37.51
- skill:
- -12.51
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 37.51
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 6
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksQuinn EwersMar 3, 2025
Quinn Ewers to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“I don't think he's going to be a first round pick... But if he gets to the second round”
Miss · 0Scored 0.07a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Quinn Ewers
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.07
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 231
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.07
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksKirk CousinsMar 3, 2025
Kirk Cousins to be picked “mid to later round guy”
“Coucord for me, reminded me of Kirk Cousins, a little bit of a mid to later round guy could potentially become a starter.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Kyle BrandtMock Draft Picks · Cam WardHit · 100Brandt insists Cam Ward will be the No. 1 overall pick as the best player in the draft, and predicts Ashton Jeanty won't fall past pick six or seven.
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
- Daniel JeremiahTrade and Signing Calls · Kirk CousinsMiss · 0Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.
- Colin CowherdTrade and Signing Calls · Kirk CousinsMiss · 0Cowherd laid out his full NFC projections: division order in all four divisions, four division winners (Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams), three wild cards (Commanders, Bears, Seahawks), and predicted the Falcons, Bears and Seahawks as new playoff teams. He also predicted Tennessee would be a surprise team with Cam Ward.
- Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Schrager expects the top of the draft to be quarterback-driven, with Cam Ward going first overall and Shedeur Sanders second. He also thinks Sam Darnold returns to Minnesota, Justin Fields starts somewhere (likely staying in Pittsburgh rather than joining the Jets), and the Eagles lose free agents like Milton Williams and Josh Sweat.
- John MiddlekauffTrade and Signing Calls · Kirk CousinsMiss · 0Middlekauff predicts Kirk Cousins will be cut within about a week, that Sam Darnold will land a multi-year deal worth roughly $100 million as an immediate starter, that Jaxson Dart will gain momentum as a potential first-round pick, that cam Ward may skip throwing at the combine, and that Derek Stingley will get around $100 million this offseason.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Olaivavega IoaneMiss · 35Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Rhett LewisPosition Order Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.
- Nick WrightPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.
- Todd McShayPosition Order Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven.
- Keith SanchezPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonClose · 71As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams.
- Field YatesPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonHit · 100As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46.