Andrew Erickson· Dec 26, 2025
Erickson ranked Trevor Lawrence QB6 and Caleb Williams QB10 as a back-end QB1, was out on Dallas Goedert (TE16), high on Hunter Henry (TE7) as a touchdown-scorer, started Taysom Hill (TE11), and predicted Trey McBride would post about 35 fantasy points.
“He's gonna put up thirty five points against the Vegles, especially coming off for a dud performance.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
3 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 72.2 out of 100, against 5.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish6They said
4What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesTrevor LawrenceDec 26, 2025
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
“Ericson you got him at six... I don't know if they need all four quarters for him to be a fantasy QB one.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 0+92.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 92.5
- player:
- Trevor Lawrence
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 27
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 6
- Positional FinishesCaleb WilliamsDec 26, 2025
Caleb Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“Ericson you got him at ten... I think that he can be a back end fantasy QB one”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 8.33+55.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 55.5
- player:
- Caleb Williams
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 16
- actual finish:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 10
- Positional FinishesHunter HenryDec 26, 2025
Hunter Henry to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points
“It's a smash. You've got him at tight end seven”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 8.33+74 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 74
- player:
- Hunter Henry
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 15
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 7
What others said about the same people
- Ethan HurwitzRoster Spot Calls · Hunter HenryHit · 100Hurwitz gives his latest 53-man roster projection for the Patriots after the preseason opener, naming who makes the team at each position and slotting rookie Jam Miller as RB3, Karon Prunty as CB4 and Kindle Vildor as CB5.
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Chris RaybonSleeper Calls · Trevor LawrenceHit · 100Raybon's biggest offseason move is Liam Coen to Jacksonville, and he expects nearly every Jaguars fantasy piece to beat their draft cost — Trevor Lawrence as a QB12-type, rookie Bhayshul Tuten as the team's eventual lead back, Brian Thomas Jr. with WR1-overall upside and Brenton Strange as value. He also expects mild regression for Baker Mayfield without Coen (still a top-six fantasy QB), likes Omarion Hampton, Treveon Henderson, Stefon Diggs, Rhamondre Stevenson, Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed and Jordan Love, and thinks Najee Harris slips to RB3 territory.
- Terrell Furman JrSleeper Calls · Hunter HenryHit · 100Furman predicts a breakout for Broncos WR Marvin Mims Jr. in Sean Payton's offense, says Bills signee Joshua Palmer will badly outperform his WR69 price, and calls Patriots TE Hunter Henry a reliable top-12/13 fantasy tight end who is going far too cheaply at TE19.
- Scott BogmanSleeper Calls · Caleb WilliamsHit · 100Bogman likes Ricky Pearsall over the other 49ers receivers, picks Keon Coleman as his wide receiver breakout, backs Quinshawn Judkins to carry Cleveland's workload (ranking him RB27), and touts Caleb Williams' upside as a late-round quarterback.
- Mike HarmonPositional Finishes · Trevor LawrenceHit · 100Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.