Andrew Erickson · Dec 26, 2025

Erickson ranked Trevor Lawrence QB6 and Caleb Williams QB10 as a back-end QB1, was out on Dallas Goedert (TE16), high on Hunter Henry (TE7) as a touchdown-scorer, started Taysom Hill (TE11), and predicted Trey McBride would post about 35 fantasy points.

“He's gonna put up thirty five points against the Vegles, especially coming off for a dud performance.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Player Season NumbersDec 26, 2025
“because he's gonna put up thirty five points against the Vegles, especially coming off for a dud performance”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
84.2
skill:
0
what happened:
189.9
player:
Trey McBride
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
35
statistic:
fantasy_points
difficulty:
1.11
last season:
132.8
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
position average:
35.61
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesDec 26, 2025
“Ericson you got him at six... I don't know if they need all four quarters for him to be a fantasy QB one.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 0+92.5 skill
How this was scored
skill:
92.5
player:
Trevor Lawrence
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
1.11
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
27
actual finish:
4
weeks left when called:
2
predicted finish:
6
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesDec 26, 2025
“Ericson you got him at ten... I think that he can be a back end fantasy QB one”
Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 8.33+55.5 skill
How this was scored
skill:
55.5
player:
Caleb Williams
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
58.33
baseline:
8.33
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
1.11
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
16
actual finish:
5
weeks left when called:
2
predicted finish:
10
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesDec 26, 2025
“It's a smash. You've got him at tight end seven”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 8.33+74 skill
How this was scored
skill:
74
player:
Hunter Henry
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
75
baseline:
8.33
position:
TE
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
1.11
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
15
actual finish:
4
weeks left when called:
2
predicted finish:
7
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesDec 26, 2025
“You've got him at eleven. He's a starting tight end for you for this week.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Player Season NumbersDec 26, 2025
“Drake Bay knows who to feed in the red zone. I think it's gonna be Hunter Henry this week.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesDec 26, 2025
“Let's start with you sixteen. Dallas Goddard isn't even in the what that's a non ranked tight end essentially for you... So that's why I have him basically as a sit this week.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?