Keith Sanchez · Jun 2, 2022
Sanchez predicts the Cowboys take a slight step back to 9-8 in 2022 but still reach the playoffs as a wild card, win their wild-card game and lose in the divisional round, with Dak Prescott playing at a top-10 quarterback level.
“So, I believe that Dallas will make the playoffs as a wildcard team, win their play-off game and lose in the divisional round.”
published in writing · The Draft Network · read the original (as archived Jun 2, 2022) → · live page
3 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesJun 2, 2022
“Dak Prescott plays at a top-10 quarterback level”
Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 0+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Dak Prescott
- season:
- 2022
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 7
- actual finish:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 10
- Season Win TotalsJun 2, 2022
“My Predictive Outcome: ... Record (9-8)”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 65-50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2022
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 65
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksJun 2, 2022
“So, I believe that Dallas will make the playoffs as a wildcard team, win their play-off game and lose in the divisional round.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18