Miami Dolphins

off:

12

drill:

weight lbs

naive:

the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)

scale:

credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE

skill:

-12.6

player:

Rueben Bain

result:

263

season:

2025

combine year:

2026

accuracy:

46.58

baseline:

59.18

predicted:

275

sigmas out:

1.1

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

skill:

0

player:

Christian Kirk

season:

2025

claimed:

MIA

was with:

JAX

accuracy:

0

baseline:

0

difficulty:

1

the naive guess:

he stays where he is

weeks in the season:

18

ended up with:

HOU

weeks left when called:

0

off:

7

drill:

weight lbs

naive:

the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)

scale:

credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE

skill:

4.86

player:

Rueben Bain

result:

263

season:

2025

combine year:

2026

accuracy:

64.04

baseline:

59.18

predicted:

270

sigmas out:

0.64

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

skill:

0

player:

Tua Tagovailoa

season:

2025

claimed:

MIA

was with:

MIA

accuracy:

100

baseline:

100

difficulty:

1

the naive guess:

he stays where he is

weeks in the season:

18

ended up with:

MIA

weeks left when called:

0

skill:

-100

player:

Malik Willis

season:

2025

claimed:

MIA

was with:

GB

accuracy:

0

baseline:

100

difficulty:

1

the naive guess:

he stays where he is

weeks in the season:

18

ended up with:

GB

weeks left when called:

0

skill:

-100

player:

Dallas Goedert

season:

2025

claimed:

MIA

was with:

PHI

accuracy:

0

baseline:

100

difficulty:

1

the naive guess:

he stays where he is

weeks in the season:

18

ended up with:

PHI

weeks left when called:

0

skill:

-100

player:

Romeo Doubs

season:

2025

claimed:

MIA

was with:

GB

accuracy:

0

baseline:

100

difficulty:

1

the naive guess:

he stays where he is

weeks in the season:

18

ended up with:

GB

weeks left when called:

0

skill:

-100

player:

Rashid Shaheed

season:

2025

claimed:

MIA

was with:

NO

accuracy:

0

baseline:

100

difficulty:

1

the naive guess:

he stays where he is

weeks in the season:

18

ended up with:

NO/SEA

weeks left when called:

0

draft:

2025

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Xavier Restrepo

season:

2024

zero at:

undrafted

outcome:

went undrafted in 2025; later signed with TEN

accuracy:

0

baseline:

50

actual pick:

undrafted

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

0

predicted pick:

like a third rounder (picks 65–102)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 27 at random averages 12.64

skill:

87.36

player:

Mansoor Delane

season:

2026

zero at:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

100

baseline:

12.64

position:

corner

class size:

27

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

1

predicted order:

1

weeks left when called:

0

won:

NE

score:

33-27

skill:

0

they picked:

MIA

season:

2025

accuracy:

0

baseline:

0

the naive pick:

MIA

difficulty:

1.94

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

17

won:

NYJ

score:

20-32

skill:

-106

they picked:

MIA

season:

2024

accuracy:

0

baseline:

100

the naive pick:

NYJ

difficulty:

1.06

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

1

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Tacario Davis

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

3.26

baseline:

50

actual pick:

72

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

3.26

predicted pick:

151

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Bryce Lance

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

13.63

baseline:

50

actual pick:

136

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

13.63

predicted pick:

90

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Keldric Faulk

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

31

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Jalon Kilgore

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

4.23

baseline:

50

actual pick:

167

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

4.23

predicted pick:

94

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Sawyer Robertson

season:

2026

zero at:

undrafted

outcome:

went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster

accuracy:

0

baseline:

50

actual pick:

undrafted

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

0

predicted pick:

130

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Chandler Rivers

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

2.31

baseline:

50

actual pick:

162

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

2.31

predicted pick:

75

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Ted Hurst

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

87.81

baseline:

50

actual pick:

84

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

87.81

predicted pick:

87

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Emmanuel Pregnon

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

14.23

baseline:

50

actual pick:

88

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

14.23

predicted pick:

43

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Kaleb Proctor

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

0.3

baseline:

50

actual pick:

104

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

0.3

predicted pick:

238

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Kenyon Sadiq

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

80.52

baseline:

50

actual pick:

16

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

80.52

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

25

player:

Logan Fano

season:

2026

zero at:

undrafted

outcome:

went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE

accuracy:

0

baseline:

50

actual pick:

undrafted

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

0

predicted pick:

227

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

75

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

39.17

player:

Chris Johnson

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

87.81

baseline:

50

actual pick:

27

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

87.81

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

89.17

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Akheem Mesidor

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

84.09

baseline:

50

actual pick:

22

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

84.09

predicted pick:

26

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Akheem Mesidor

season:

2025

zero at:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

22

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

could sneak it to the bottom of the first round, could be there at the top of day two (picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Akheem Mesidor

season:

2025

zero at:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

22

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

their second first round pick (picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

36.87

player:

K.C. Concepcion

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

77.11

baseline:

50

actual pick:

24

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

77.11

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

86.87

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

36.87

player:

Mansoor Delane

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

80.52

baseline:

50

actual pick:

6

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

80.52

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

86.87

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

40.26

player:

Makai Lemon

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

67.71

baseline:

50

actual pick:

20

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

67.71

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

90.26

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

40.26

player:

Monroe Freeling

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

62.09

baseline:

50

actual pick:

19

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

62.09

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

90.26

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

44.13

player:

Mansoor Delane

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

80.52

baseline:

50

actual pick:

6

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

80.52

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

94.13

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

44.13

player:

Denzel Boston

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

67.71

baseline:

50

actual pick:

39

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

67.71

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

94.13

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

35.71

player:

Francis Mahoney now

season:

2026

zero at:

undrafted

outcome:

went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster

accuracy:

0

baseline:

50

actual pick:

undrafted

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

0

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

85.71

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

31.82

player:

Denzel Boston

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

67.71

baseline:

50

actual pick:

39

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

67.71

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

81.82

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Vega Ioana

season:

2026

zero at:

undrafted

outcome:

went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster

accuracy:

0

baseline:

50

actual pick:

undrafted

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

0

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

33.31

player:

Mansoor Delane

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

80.52

baseline:

50

actual pick:

6

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

80.52

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

83.31

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

33.31

player:

K.C. Concepcion

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

77.11

baseline:

50

actual pick:

24

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

77.11

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

83.31

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

46.82

player:

Keldric Faulk

season:

2026

zero at:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

31

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

30

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

96.82