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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,562
Graded
3,881
Pundits
344
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,562

takes graded

4,681 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

3226–3250 of 3,881

  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Sixteen through twenty sixteen Arizona Cardinals Kenneth Grant

    Kenneth GrantArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+25.64 skillsaid Feb 18, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jamie ErdahlTop Player Lists

    Chauncey Gardner Johnson, you are my number five... Josh Sweat... They are my number three... Cooper Gene the rookie... Zach Bond again... Jalen not hurts Carter

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Feb 15, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Kyle BrandtTop Player Lists

    Number five... I have Jalen Hurts... number four. I put Jordan Mailatta... Number three Jalen Carter... Number two I have Lane Johnson... And the number one I have Saquon Barkley.

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 15, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksPlayoff Picks

    This is a team that is loaded. They're going to continue to be loaded ... This is a team that we should see in the Final four for the next few years.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Feb 15, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Adam RankTop Player Lists

    "I have Lamar at number five..." "Josh Allen, who was the regular season MVP" (No. 4), "I've got to throw Joe Burrow in here" (No. 3), "I still have Jalen Hurts at number two", "it's obviously it's Patrick Mahomes" at No. 1

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Feb 15, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jamie ErdahlTop Player Lists

    Chauncey Gardner Johnson, you are my number five. Josh Sweat... Cooper... They are my number three top five Eagle... Zach Bond again... and honestly, like to Kyle's Jalen not hurts Carter

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Feb 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Kyle BrandtTop Player Lists

    Number five... I have Jalen Hurts... Number four, I put Jordan Mailatta... Number three Jalen Carter... Number two I have Lane Johnson... And the number one I have Saquon Barkley.

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 13, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdSuper Bowl Picks

    I like Kansas City in this game. But you know I say this without a ton of conviction... I think you're going to get a classic super Bowl, super Bowl fifty nine.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 9, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Richard ShermanSuper Bowl Picks

    But until you beat the champs, I gotta go with the champs... I can't bet against Kansas City. So I'm going with Kansas City.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 8, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdSuper Bowl Picks

    So here is my pick for the Philadelphia Kansas City Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus one and a half. I like Kansas City and here's why.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 14Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 62.56-48.28 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdPosition Group Rankings

    Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdPosition Group Rankings

    wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jason McIntyreGame Outcome Picks

    So I think I'm gonna go Eagles here, Colin

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdPosition Group Rankings

    tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdPosition Group Rankings

    running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdPosition Group Rankings

    We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdPositional Finishes

    which quarterback you love the most passing yards in the second half... I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes.

    Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 91.67-41.67 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdPositional Finishes

    AJ Brown is a top three to four receiver in the league.

    A.J. BrownPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 33.33-33.33 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Colin CowherdDepth Chart Calls

    Davante may be the most talented number two receiver he and t Higgins in the NFL.

    DeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 64Paul PabstScore Predictions

    I'm gonna give it to Jalen Hurt's twenty seven to twenty four Eagles in overtime.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 62.56+1.72 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Paul PabstAward Picks

    I'm gonna give it to Jalen Hurt's twenty seven to twenty four Eagles in overtime.

    Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Todd FritzAward Picks

    twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames

    Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Todd FritzSuper Bowl Picks

    Cry Eagles Cry twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Paul PabstSuper Bowl Picks

    twenty seven to twenty four Eagles in overtime

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →