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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,541
Graded
3,881
Pundits
343
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,541

takes graded

4,660 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

3351–3375 of 3,881

  • Hit · 92Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks

    But I will say about Penn State Abduall Carter that rush end. If he's healthy, John, if he got drafted number one. I don't think it's crazy. I think he's so good.

    Abdul Carter

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks

    His son Bryce, who I would bet on number thirty, the six foot seven pass rusher who's a backup right now, who's a true freshman being a future top ten pick in a couple of years.

    Bryce Young

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks

    I would too, But you know their issue have been up the middle... but that's one I think everyone's gonna pick the Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Move the SticksDepth Chart Calls

    Tyrod Taylor has to be your starting quarterback

    Tyrod TaylorNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid Jan 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Move the SticksDepth Chart Calls

    I inticipate Ola Dokin to get raised up from the practice squad and to get some snaps too

    Chris OladokunKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid Jan 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 99Marcus MosherPower Rankings

    Here are our updated power rankings going into the final week of the 2024 season: NFL Week 17 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) ... 32. New York Giants (3-13)

    a naive guess scored 67.38+33.32 skillsaid Dec 31, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherPlayoff Picks

    The Rams have turned things around in the second half of the season and will be back in the postseason... the fact that they will be hosting a home playoff game is pretty wild

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Dec 31, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherPlayoff Picks

    Houston will still host a playoff game in Round 1, but don't be surprised if it is a heavy underdog in that matchup.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Dec 31, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Kyle CrabbsMock Draft Picks

    He is still within my top 10 overall prospects eligible for the 2025 class despite not ranking at No. 1 on this list.

    Abdul Carter

    a naive guess scored 50said Dec 6, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 96Marcus MosherTeam Draft Slot Calls

    That means Jacksonville could pick at No. 1 for the third time in five seasons.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 40.26+71.04 skillsaid Dec 3, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 98Marcus MosherPower Rankings

    Here are our updated power rankings going into Week 14 of the 2024 season

    a naive guess scored 67.38+39.39 skillsaid Dec 3, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherPlayoff Picks

    The Denver Broncos are a near-lock to make the postseason

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+128 skillsaid Dec 3, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherPlayoff Picks

    Baltimore is a sure-fire playoff team, but it clearly isn't the same regular-season team we saw last year.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Dec 3, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 90Dan PizzutaTop Player Lists

    Week 13 Quarterback Rankings — 1. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens ... 32. Mac Jones, Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 50+52.56 skillsaid Nov 27, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 92Dan PizzutaDepth Chart Calls

    Gardner Minshew broke his collarbone and will be out for the rest of the season, putting Aidan O’Connell back in as the starter.

    Aidan O'ConnellLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid Nov 27, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherPlayoff Picks

    The Chargers are still a contender in the AFC and should have no problem being the No. 5 or No. 6 seed in the conference.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 0+133 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherPlayoff Picks

    Denver's defense has been incredible this season, and it is well on its way to earning a Wild Card spot in the AFC.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+133 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 80Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals

    With a favorable schedule coming up, Tampa Bay could easily get to nine or more wins this season.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75+6.65 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherPlayoff Picks

    The Packers are a lock to be in the playoffs and will be one of the toughest wild-card teams we've seen in recent years.

    Green Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 98Marcus MosherPower Rankings

    Here are our updated power rankings going into Week 13 of the 2024 season

    a naive guess scored 67.38+40.37 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 88Marcus MosherTeam Draft Slot Calls

    the Raiders need to land a top-three pick in the 2025 NFL Draft to find their next franchise quarterback

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 64.84+30.55 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 92Dan PizzutaDepth Chart Calls

    With Dak Prescott out for at least four weeks on injured reserve, Cooper Rush is in line to start instead of Trey Lance.

    Cooper RushDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 100-12.5 skillsaid Nov 6, 2024the article →