NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,670
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 349
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,670
takes graded
4,789 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR53 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles315 takes
- Los Angeles Rams301 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens283 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders262 takes
- Seattle Seahawks246 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- Carolina Panthers156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
901–925 of 3,881
I went with Jackson Smith and Jig Bow. He just was so on it this entire year.
Let's go offensive Rookie of the Year. I've already kind of made said my piece on this one, which was Tetero McMillan
He's doing it for one of the best defense in the league. So he's my choice too.
I was between Brian Flores and Jeff Hafley for the too ... I liked Brian Flores for this award
Philadelphia is going to win this game. The numbers leading me to this
The top ten NFL teams according to College number ten, I would put Chicago... I think they're GM's the best personnel guy in the league.
Matthew Stafford was not my MVP vote. It was Drake May.
So Atlanta at six, I wrote, Carolina, Green Bay, Philly, Chicago, San Francisco, La Rams (spoken by "Kyle")
you know, Carolina obviously it is... My next team is Green Bay... But that's where I got San Francisco. And then Chicago... Then I got the I got the rams... and in Philadelphia, this is a team that at times just seem like they were bored
"Mike G": number six Carolina ... So I'm going Green Bay at number five ... the San Francisco forty nine ers [at four] ... I'm going to Chicago ... So I've got them there at number three ... I do have Philadelphia above Chicago ... which is why I've got to put the La Rams at number one.
Pooka Nakua bring them on back because he's made say he was my offensive player of the year.
So that's my one through six, Mike Gi I got Carolina, San Francisco, Philly, Chicago, Green Bay, and number one. I got the La Rams, excluding the Seattle Seahawks (spoken by "Mantai")
I'm gonna go Pittsburgh at number six... I'm going to go Jacksonville number five... Number four, I'm going to go New England... Number three... I'm going to go Buffalo... [LAC and Houston] Yep, and that's how I'm going
I think the winner of this game, I really think it's going to be Houston.
I'm going to vote for Drake May as the MVP.
So I got the Chargers at six... The Pittsburgh Steelers are number five... they are playing in the Houston Texans... I'm going to put the number one rushing defense here [Jaguars]... I'm gonna put the Patriots here... So I put them at number two, number one. Let's go Buffalo
I got you at number six... I got the Steelers at number six, number five, I got the Buffalo Bills... Number four, I have the Chargers... Number three, I have the Texans... Number two of the Jaguars... Number one I got the Patriots.
number six. I have Pittsburgh... I have the charges... Houston... I have them all the way at number four... Next at number three, I got the Pats... I have Buffalo at the number two... I got du Ball County the Jaguars at number one
I think I would take New England in a very low scoring game.
But just based on the way they're playing, it'd be hard to go against the Jags.
IF i had to pick a team to win The Super bowl, today it would Be Seattle
now they're going to draft Fernando Mendoza number one overall... I think he's no brainer number one based on this CLASS
I think I would take Jacksonville by a touchdown, what say you?
So I think last night Drake May won the MVP and I do not like that at all... it's now going to be betting wise, it's over and conventional wisdom wise, Drake May won the award
Christian McCaffrey should win. Often to play the year over JSN